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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’m not knowledgeable enough to answer this so I’d have to phone a friend, lol. I feel like people have been talking this up as a sorta unique set up, so that has its dangers. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
think ji’s right above yours might be funnier. I’ve been all in on this feature for a few days now since I’m too west and Millville and some other mets online have been fairly bullish. If it continues to juice up someone will do surprisingly well, I think. 5” might be tough -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think the front end can be weenie-willed up to a 5" jackpot, genuinely. To answer the ratio question from Scraff, they improve as it goes on, but the bulk of the good stuff falls at 10:1, based on how Pivotal interprets the Kuchera #s -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
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January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
man, I’ve got like no work to do at college this weekend - I bet I could make this trip work haha -
Also finished Ozark tonight - can’t wait for May, which is when it seems like Pt. 2 is airing. Very glad it’s not next fall, which I had feared.
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January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
FV3-HiRes, temps a bit of an issue: -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
i updated it - tbf it should've included an additional 3 hours. 1" from the coastal would be a win, i guess -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
that's true, but looking at how much QPF it throws back from the coastal given that statement is kinda funny, lol 18z comparison -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
12k NAM is an acceptable compromise for all + it's colder than the HRRR. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
yeah, if you mean the fact it says it's 35 and it'll actually be 31 and that the band is gonna move 20 miles south and be directly over my yard, I agree -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
For the people in the band, most of it comes in 3 hours. Temps aren't great tho, I'll admit. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Extended HRRR -- someone will steal 3-4". -
got ninja’d in the main thread
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January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Storm Total @WinterWxLuvr 18z 12z -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is what the coastal brings to the immediate area: -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is largely pre-coastal: -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Didn't see anyone post the HRDPS -- almost all of this D.C.-east is the pre-costal stuff. -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's worth considering in the future that this GFS run was a cave towards a more EURO/CMC solution for NJ/NYC/LI/Mass -
January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
it's much better for the delmarva/southern NJ folks (which this image doesn't show) -- initial wave doesn't suck for us here either -
Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
NorthArlington101 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
last 10 days of the run- 4,130 replies
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- prime climo
- cold canada
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I don’t trust people who say they can really tell between Coke and Pepsi… what else are they willing to lie about?
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not a soda person at all but when I must: Root Beer Coke Pepsi Ginger Ale Fanta Sprite Dr. Pepper Ginger Ale Mountain Dew
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
NorthArlington101 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Back to back east coast storms in February? Reminds me of something- 4,130 replies
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- prime climo
- cold canada
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(and 1 more)
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January 28-29, 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Threat
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
If the GFS truly verifies and those spots miss out, it’ll be hard to look at other models for the rest of the year for things other than short-term banding and p-type.
