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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    RGEM got drier and shifted southward.
  2. NorthArlington101
    12z EURO denies the existence of a storm entirely. Almost too much of an outlier for me to be inclined to believe it, but I'm sure it'll be right this time. edit: it looked like it did on the 1hr maps - on the 6hr maps it seems to suggest some mood flakes. woo.
  3. NorthArlington101
    UKIE definitely did not cave but manages to drop T-1" through the most populated areas of the subforum so many folks might be happy with it anyway.
  4. NorthArlington101
    Canadian holds steady -- really a slight improvement even. Wetter across the board. 12z 00z
  5. NorthArlington101
    eh, I'm curious to see how long it holds steady. Shrunk the bullseye and generally lowered totals across the board (bad) but maintains the same general look.
  6. NorthArlington101
    yep - it and its cousin, the HDRPS. They are fun to look at but clearly a little quirky.
  7. NorthArlington101
    NAM is coming in much more amped. Should be a better run. A significant step in the right direction from the nothingburger it tossed out at 06z.
  8. NorthArlington101
  9. NorthArlington101
    Thanks Ravens!
  10. NorthArlington101
    Nice GIF/analysis from Webb. Wouldn’t mind it trending a *little* more south.
  11. NorthArlington101
  12. NorthArlington101
    00z NAM (yes, I know) is also looking too weak and suppressed to amount to much.
  13. NorthArlington101
    Suppressed?
  14. NorthArlington101
    Of course I don’t actually believe it has impact on the weather. But it also does.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Pretty substantial run-to-run shift. 12z 18z
  16. NorthArlington101
    Moving this here -- I like having one sooner (like 3 days out) rather than later just to better archive discussion. It's fun reading back on old events/seeing old model runs and that's hard when it's all in one LR thread. That said, it's a proven jinx so it should've be done until the short-range, which we aren't in yet.
  17. NorthArlington101
    We’re close. Maybe 3 days out…
  18. NorthArlington101
    Pretty sure you swim club - if you haven’t figured it out yet, unless you are like truly exceptional, you are probably gonna be dropping time maybe 4x a year in your best events. Being close to your time at a high school meet is all you can really ask for, lol. Conditions are not ideal and you aren’t close to tapered.
  19. NorthArlington101
    The GEPS (minus P03, I suppose) promises wintery weather next Wednesday. If this fails... blame Canada!
  20. NorthArlington101
    Long as we ignore the 18z run - sorta actually it was kinda close
  21. NorthArlington101
    scrolled to the 06z run and thought it was a massive improvement snowmap wise — went back to 00z and it’s about the same if not slightly worse, though the 12z gives some more wiggle room. still, provides a fair bit of hope. Lot of models with a good stripe through the area, sorta feast-or-famine though.
  22. NorthArlington101
    I don't have your elephant memory but it's the best run of the past few cycles - seems the way we win here is more suppressed and somewhat strung out rather than a massive storm that lucks out, though I would like to see exactly how the UKIE pulled it off.
  23. NorthArlington101
    EURO is a step in the right direction. We can pretend that satisfies us and move on
  24. NorthArlington101
    Not to dissuade people from subscribing since they deserve it, but adblockers do the job well.
  25. NorthArlington101
    probably, but the UKIE and GEFS look decently wintry, as does (your favorite model) the ICON. Almost sounds like a consensus when you put it like that. Almost.
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