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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Nothing worth dissecting on the 18z EURO. Next
  2. NorthArlington101
  3. NorthArlington101
    might be the best 24hr mean of the season. Can’t hurt.
  4. NorthArlington101
    When WxBell tries to filter out the sleet/FRZA it looks like less dramatic of a “miss.” Agree with all the comments about not minding it being south, though.
  5. NorthArlington101
    We’re all but out of GEFS range but they moistened up. 1” mean around DC. Hoping I can bring this thread home like the early Feb “storm.” Best of luck, everyone.
  6. NorthArlington101
    made a thread, so apologies in advance.
  7. NorthArlington101
    With some decent consensus between the GFS/NAM/CMC/EURO for flakes, maybe even measurable snow Saturday, figured I’d spread this out from discussion on our longer range looks. Sorry if this thread kills things entirely!
  8. NorthArlington101
    thread?
  9. NorthArlington101
    Great analysis, thanks. My analysis following yesterday's 18z runs was to look at hotels around Boston -- pretty cheap!
  10. NorthArlington101
    Yep, threw that out earlier. Some nice members in there, which is a good shift from earlier runs. Long way to go to get everyone involved but we’ve got 5 days to have that transfer happen further south.
  11. NorthArlington101
    What interests me a bit in the GEFS is a shift in our direction for the storm on the 28th. Hail Mary for sure, but a handful of interesting members.
  12. NorthArlington101
    I'm a big believer in the idea that winters will be more boom or bust going forward. Don't think it'll be close to a 50/50 split of boom/bust, maybe closer to 20/80, but enough killer years could end up causing a positive trend even if the intersnowy years suck.
  13. NorthArlington101
    Don't look at the 12z EURO if Boston snowfalls rub you the wrong way. They get slammed on the 28th.
  14. NorthArlington101
    WxBell ratios half this but beggars can’t be choosers and I’m the beggiest of the beggars
  15. NorthArlington101
    UKIE has some snow Saturday too
  16. NorthArlington101
    Temps don't look that hot and its during daylight hours, think the overnight "storm" in Feb. would end up being the winner for a good chunk of folks still. But point taken given how little we've seen
  17. NorthArlington101
    Storm impacting Baltimore is SVR warned, for some reason.
  18. NorthArlington101
    Would be the second best event of the season
  19. NorthArlington101
    I mean verbatim isn’t that a foot into the city? If we’re using snow maps let’s have fun
  20. NorthArlington101
    (Un?)fortunately the EPS looks viable to me for wintery precip past Day 9 or so. March is the new February
  21. NorthArlington101
    I’d like a 100mi shift to the SE if possible
  22. NorthArlington101
    Almost certainly… though it’s impossible to observe the counterfactual, so who knows[emoji6]
  23. NorthArlington101
    It’s a little interesting. I’m in Fishersville, but don’t think I can convince my girlfriend to take a sick day Monday (in-person work for her) relying on the GFS’s antics. Would need something else to come aboard
  24. NorthArlington101
    Atlanta has a better shot at an inch than most of us
  25. NorthArlington101
    Congrats to Georgia
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