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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    It was terrible with the Jan 3 storm earlier in the year until a day or so out, FWIW
  2. NorthArlington101
    Gun to my head I'd agree with that, but the NAMs do give me some pause. Think others have toted the possibility of that warm nose sneaking in earlier than progged and the NAM does do a good job with that. If both NAMs hold that look throughout the day, I think there could start being some serious ice storm murmurs.
  3. NorthArlington101
    yeah, that one is a pass. couple more runs like that and my journey to cville may get canceled. think I can wait till Sunday morning to make the call. ice + wind = cya, I'm out.
  4. NorthArlington101
    it’s what, 12” of snow in 48 hours? .25” an hour? toss. You’ve changed man
  5. NorthArlington101
    168 hours out is practically tomorrow - we got this
  6. NorthArlington101
    FWIW
  7. NorthArlington101
    CFS have any value in the short-range? Or the NAVGEM?
  8. NorthArlington101
    Roughly the same.
  9. NorthArlington101
    if true, it does make it.
  10. NorthArlington101
  11. NorthArlington101
    First round of brine on some streets in Arlington. #itshappening
  12. NorthArlington101
    I'm rather stunned by the consistency of outcomes from a few days ago, especially for something with so many moving parts. Today's 12z 12z on 1/11
  13. NorthArlington101
    my favorite fun fact -- Charlottesville has the same amount of restaurants per capita as New York City (and most are really good)
  14. NorthArlington101
  15. NorthArlington101
  16. NorthArlington101
    Mets are designing their own models to show a better outcome, smh /s
  17. NorthArlington101
  18. NorthArlington101
    You'd look at these panels and assume everyone is about to get totally smoked...
  19. NorthArlington101
  20. NorthArlington101
    you are totally right -- not sure why it leaps to the coast when it becomes a p-type map.
  21. NorthArlington101
    I suppose it ultimately doesn't seem to matter -- you can see it's having difficulty resolving the exact placement of the low. As others have noted, this outcome seems pretty locked regardless of exactly where the model decides the SLP is. It's looked like this for 2 days straight in one form or another.
  22. NorthArlington101
  23. NorthArlington101
    From my limited years down there, that does appear to be true. I guess on the positive side for winter wx, I'd expect the CAD to hold on a bit longer. Could be pretty icy.
  24. NorthArlington101
    Actually, the culprit is fairly clear -- DC and close burbs get dryslotted hard for 6 hours in the peak of the storm. edit: that said, ICON isn't gonna nail anything like that from this range. the low track is better, all that should be noted.
  25. NorthArlington101
    per the weather.us maps, the RA/SN/IP line goes right up 95. Depth map so hardly perfect, but for fun until we get the better maps. Slightly surprised its not better around DC.
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