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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. FV3 Hi-Res looks like a really fun Saturday. Hoping it signals a nice GFS run in an hour.
  2. The 3k NAM does hate this event though, haha. Would still be a nice wintry day in mid-March but that's a low-end outcome.
  3. It's a step in the right direction -- less sleet for you, more snow. The way it shows the sleet is pretty funny, lol. The 10:1 map looks great for you in particular, surprised so little translates to snow depth.
  4. Pick whichever kind of snow map speaks to you the most -- all are generally an improvement -- can't say it is for everyone, but mostly.
  5. 18z EURO has the system a lot more put together. Looking like it should be a wetter run.
  6. WPC is certainly a little bullish - has the 50% for >2” running just NW of the NW DC border. Don’t know if they consider snow depth, but I like to see it regardless.
  7. The WxBell maps showed 2”+ of sleet out around Warrenton. But yes, not a great run overall as far as snow is concerned.
  8. On mobile so image sharing sucks but 12z EPS is clearly drier as well - looks about the same otherwise, extends push of accumulating snow maybe a bit further south.
  9. EURO looks like it’ll hold. Almost looks like the seasonal SE MD/CVA jackpot might show this run too.
  10. Unrelated -- FV3 Hi-Res showing that nice squall signature on the back.
  11. I'm wondering if it's doing that thing @high risk(I believe) mentioned where conditions *might* briefly support sleet for like 5 minutes as it transitions to snow but then the model output renders it sleeting for the whole 3hr period or so.
  12. So... exactly what I said? I'm happy to take the tradeoff of Winchester losing 3" of snow if it means the rest of us see more, but I totally understand why you wouldn't be.
  13. This is an interesting tweet -- squalls would obviously be fun.
  14. 3k NAM has it snowing for a few hours while DCA is down into the upper 20s. That'll get us a wintry scene for a little bit, at least.
  15. 12k NAM is an improvement. Cautiously optimistic given that we are seeing positive trends across guidance.
  16. Will didn't even share the weeniest map. For shame. Enjoy this one.
  17. Buy the event or not, when the EPS is slowly trending better run after run, that's enough to suggest something might be happening, imo.
  18. it was too much to ask for, it’s clearly worse than 00z. snow is snow, though!
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