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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. I’ve only ever added value by posting maps! Happy to continue. [emoji6]
  2. It’s the illusion of control and predictability. Maybe speaking for myself, you think you must be smart enough to draft well, win on the waiver wire, look at the data and make good start/sits, trade by selling high and buying low… and then your first round pick is out for the season after the 2nd game. It’s at least 60% luck, just tough to realize it. also, when your league takes it very seriously, you get caught up in it.
  3. I rarely go to bed truly frustrated. Snow, grades, fantasy football… those would be about the only reasons. Needed a long shot to win (Najee/Chubb/Diontae > 70), but got 2nd place. If I played Cooks over AB, it would’ve happened. Oh well.
  4. Flying back to the area tonight… should land around 8:45pm. If the 00z suite tonight axes the Thurs/Fri storm, my apologies.
  5. That’s yesterdays 12z - fair bit of that is yesterday’s storm.
  6. Love to see the high confidence. The overnight runs were all really great, IMO. 06z GEFS came in a touch improved as well.
  7. 12k NAM is a very solid looking storm. Yes, it’s the 12k NAM at range. Sue me.
  8. The control wants to jack similar areas as today did but leaves nobody out of it.
  9. Appreciable tick south from 06z. 2" now south of DCA.
  10. Yeah, I think my original post came off a bit wrong — I mean we’ll be hearing a lot of justification of (maybe) unlikely outcomes based on the success of the GFS and others this time around. I recognize that each model has it strengths/weaknesses and they’ll shine brighter in some circumstances than others. What this storm does from my perspective is that for the next few years, I imagine the next time the GFS is on an island, people will cite this, haha.
  11. Hah, that quickly puts my 7” number into question. Congrats on the big storm.
  12. Where’s my $5? Friends in NW Arlington say things have mostly shut off. Looks like about 7” there and in Charlottesville, per my other hobyyist friends with proper snowboards.
  13. The one thing about this storm working out is now we have to hold the GFS in high regard for a few weeks at least. Heck, the long range HRRR did well.
  14. My full focus is on Friday since I missed this one. Canadian does look nice. It's ens are little used (maybe for a reason) but they look solid as well. EURO ens have my fear that this storm goes more inland than I'd like. Still, not a bad run all told and trended much better from 12z yesterday (had 0.7" in DCA). The control hopped on board too.
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