NorthArlington101

GFS shoved a lot of its chips in… To be less vague, it’s an improvement.

Haha - it would be fun on the 3k/12k for sure. For once the ground temps might actually be problematic but the rates would overcome a lot. It’d be memorable if true. 3k is ~5” in 3hrs for metro proper.

12k NAM holds serve - better for the metro actually.

Congrats on the great swimming! I wouldn't worry too much about nationals in your first year -- I considered myself lucky to make that meet by my senior year of high school! On the nerves front, I think developing a routine is pretty important. Whether that is walking up listening to music, doing the crazy slap thing, doing the same stretches behind the block, routinizing the swim and making yourself think it's like any other race might be helpful. Watching Torri Huske swim when I swam with her, she did the same thing every time, she was in her zone, doing her things. I definitely got nervous before big swims (especially when my time to get a nats cut was running out) but one of the things I loved about swimming was you pretty much just hop in the water and push yourself as hard as possible (with some race strategy). Not too much to stress over -- you should hop in, black out, swim hard, and see what the result is. Good luck!

With things looking dire, I feel pretty good about my performance again this year. Would've liked the two-peat but better to lose by going low then by going high!

I would’ve gone for the late 1910s - has the perfect pandemic/war combo. Would rather avoid the Great Depression period for a bit, lol.

CHO apparently hit 80. Love it.

Yeah, if I thought the SREF was a legit model, this would be a worrying/exciting trend.

I feel like I've heard that before, but that bolded part is truly nuts and ends up being so misleading, especially for models that only have those 3/6 hour intervals.

On a more serious note -- I'm somewhat skeptical it accretes that perfectly at 30-32 degrees and moderate/heavy precip. Timing has "improved" so it has that going for it.

good thing no one lives there! /s

hmm... not quite at the stage of taking the 3k serious but that's much more widespread than I'd would have guessed

I've got a goldfish-like memory but it's arguably the best look of the year

There will be no event then EURO will follow -- nature has returned to its natural balance

Snow/mix in the parts area at 123 on the EURO north of about Culpeper mostly rain for all by 129 (using the 3hr maps)- pretty much a nothingburger. 00z was better with winter effects from that wave even though this was slightly further south.

One of my weather goals is to be in a snow squall warning… missed the one in 2015 that I guess predated the warning’s existence, but I’m sure it would’ve qualified.

also, just looking at temps/timing, this wouldn’t be that bad minus our far northern areas. Marginal and daylight.

looks eerily similar to the last ice threat. Back to needing the euro on board for me to buy this

Yep - back to having everything dusted. Would be nice to have this hold for a bit but it seems unlikely. Radar isn’t doing a great job though so who knows

Snowing in CHO.

Yeah, I've been eyeing this as the redemption for my area tonight. Seems like a lot of the mesos have T-1" down here from the snow showers later this evening, which I think have a better shot at sticking than much of what did today. Fingers crossed.

Updated sig

Snowiest Rotunda picture I could manage

Everything minus the pavement is pretty dusted in Charlottesville - we’ll call that a win.