NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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12z EURO still has an I-95 screw zone but it blends in pretty well, honestly.
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UKIE is (a bad model and cannot be trusted) but is on the team of having the screw zone being closer to PHI.
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mine 12z CMC
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HDRPS pretty decent.
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DT might be hugging the GFS this time around.
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The WPC still has this as their 10th percentile map, which is pretty surprising IMO. Not complaining, just tough to see it.
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Pretty dangerous panel on the RGEM. Thankfully, the band in the west seems to sort of get absorbed by the coastal and still swings through the metro, but one could see a screw zone developing.
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RGEM continues the trend shown by some of the other short range models -- doesn't really start the precip in DC metro until about 1am as the developing coastal robs the moisture. It does manage to come down pretty hot and heavy for three good hours from 2-5am though.
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upon further review, temperatures are an issue for the beltway and close burbs this run. still probably a good run, but a flag.
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Hi-Res FV3 looks nice.
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agree with point A, but not seeing the rain on these maps:
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It’s a 4 hour storm, but at least it’s heavy enough
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Charlotteville had 4 WSW in about a four week period last year — it’s not too rare. As I think Bob Chill mentioned, when we get hot, we get hot. Feb 2010 is definitely on the list. Feel like there must be something else recent.
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06z GFS
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Love it. While it’s late and I feel less bad about map spam, WPC is all in in its own way. I’ve always liked their maps for expectation setting. Note these aren’t necessarily 10:1.
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HDRPS and CMC both went drier, FWIW. At least they are rather uniformally meh (meh being 2-3” with good ratios).
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The place between bands is a scary, scary place to be though. But I guess that’s what’s bound to happen to someone. Cross your fingers…
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not a politics post, just kinda funny.
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Love seeing Jay’s Wintry Mix as the top post on the NOVA subreddit
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That prime coastal moisture is oh so close to I-95 on the 18z HRRR.
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If we could get that MSLP to jog westward even a little, I think we'd be really happy. You can start to see the coastal enhancement on the 3k just as the storm get's going, that's what really ends up providing the nice totals D.C-east, from my not-so-expert analysis. Getting that a bit earlier/further west would be nice.
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that last sentiment is so crazy to me -- not calling you crazy, but the most important part of a snowstorm for me by far is seeing it snow. watching it snow > tracking > enjoying the snow after
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you think that sounds crazy? On this board?
