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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Bold - I like it.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Good luck - let me know what you measure. Decided it wasn’t worth the early travel.
  3. NorthArlington101
    I saw online that the first video was old & from Indonesia — rest is still crazy, though.
  4. NorthArlington101
    and in another 72 hours, it’s over Lake Erie
  5. NorthArlington101
  6. NorthArlington101
    This leaves out the SW, which I think you are OK with based on your handle, but if not let me know and I’ll DM you something else.
  7. NorthArlington101
    A smart person would not check this forum or the models until Monday. That’s not me
  8. NorthArlington101
    In a way, it makes sense that we all share the same dynamic WAA thump before changing over. It seems unlikely the changeover will move northward in a straight, buzzkilling line, but that map kinda makes sense. I think.
  9. NorthArlington101
    I’m just (unwisely) hugging the HRRR. Shows a very equitable 3-5” across the region with some banding winners before a little sleet and a little rain.
  10. NorthArlington101
    Gonna be fun when we get more snow from the vort pass on Monday than the storm itself
  11. NorthArlington101
    3k has more snow in DC than CHO
  12. NorthArlington101
    that’s where I lean too - the difference between 6” and 2” doesn’t get me on the road in the morning. 2” vs. 10”, however…
  13. NorthArlington101
    Charlottesville: maybe 6” of snow, some ice, less rain, back at college a few days early Arlington: maybe 3” (okay 1” probably) of snow, maybe some ice, rain, maybe a Monday snow shower, home cooked meals Tough call.
  14. NorthArlington101
    he’s running the DT model at this point - no OP guidance from the last day shows quite what he’s showing — those upper end totals are gonna be tough to hit. Not to say it’s wrong and I admire the boldness I suppose, but…
  15. NorthArlington101
  16. NorthArlington101
    It was terrible with the Jan 3 storm earlier in the year until a day or so out, FWIW
  17. NorthArlington101
    Gun to my head I'd agree with that, but the NAMs do give me some pause. Think others have toted the possibility of that warm nose sneaking in earlier than progged and the NAM does do a good job with that. If both NAMs hold that look throughout the day, I think there could start being some serious ice storm murmurs.
  18. NorthArlington101
    yeah, that one is a pass. couple more runs like that and my journey to cville may get canceled. think I can wait till Sunday morning to make the call. ice + wind = cya, I'm out.
  19. NorthArlington101
    it’s what, 12” of snow in 48 hours? .25” an hour? toss. You’ve changed man
  20. NorthArlington101
    168 hours out is practically tomorrow - we got this
  21. NorthArlington101
    FWIW
  22. NorthArlington101
    CFS have any value in the short-range? Or the NAVGEM?
  23. NorthArlington101
    Roughly the same.
  24. NorthArlington101
    if true, it does make it.
  25. NorthArlington101
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