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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Wasn’t trying to scare you off! Anyways, this image speaks for itself. Damn.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Hammered at 156
  3. NorthArlington101
    thank god the people reading this over in the morning get to see the same thing repeated three times, lol
  4. NorthArlington101
    looking big at 150 - moderate snow pushing up through VA
  5. NorthArlington101
    00z EURO - I’d post a comparison map to 18z but it really is practically the same. Still maybe the most aggressive guidance for the favored zones.
  6. NorthArlington101
    ya must be that one weather station near Tuckahoe Elementary, lol. Local wx stations all look to be about 15 degrees. Nice and chilly.
  7. NorthArlington101
    Pivotal and WxBell both have had some weird choppiness on their maps with this one - I feel like the snow algorithms are struggling to resolve the changeover period.
  8. NorthArlington101
    in Charlottesville, clearly
  9. NorthArlington101
    GFS is slightly snowier, FWIW.
  10. NorthArlington101
    My two cents on this storm is that places out on I-81 are vastly underestimating the icing potential with this one — DC gets up to like 50 on some of these models as the low tucks in so the ice isn’t gonna be a problem here for long but areas out there only get to 34, maybe. I think things are gonna suck (or be very enjoyable, if you like winter) out your way for sure.
  11. NorthArlington101
    I just don’t know what that means, I guess. Seems like a way to justify higher hopes, which is fine but not a reason to throw guidance out the window. The EURO/HRRR/ICON are already showing higher totals so it’s not like a boom scenario wouldn’t be caught by some of the models.
  12. NorthArlington101
    EURO/HRRR combo isn’t bad. Hug it and ignore everything else. 19/2 in Arlington, which is where my obs will be for this one. Good luck to my Charlottesville brethren.
  13. NorthArlington101
    That’s probably very true, but I don’t think it means you throw meteorology 101 out the window here in hopes of a weenie miracle, I guess is the point I’m trying to make. We obviously have some hope for a strong WAA push that helps keep things cooler. Psu mentioned something like that a few nights ago. I just don’t think that depends on a unique “this has never been seen before” event.
  14. NorthArlington101
    I don’t know about this argument… I mean every weather event is unique but it’s not like you can’t take from others where the low was running way less far to the west and extrapolate.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Bold - I like it.
  16. NorthArlington101
    Good luck - let me know what you measure. Decided it wasn’t worth the early travel.
  17. NorthArlington101
    I saw online that the first video was old & from Indonesia — rest is still crazy, though.
  18. NorthArlington101
    and in another 72 hours, it’s over Lake Erie
  19. NorthArlington101
  20. NorthArlington101
    This leaves out the SW, which I think you are OK with based on your handle, but if not let me know and I’ll DM you something else.
  21. NorthArlington101
    A smart person would not check this forum or the models until Monday. That’s not me
  22. NorthArlington101
    In a way, it makes sense that we all share the same dynamic WAA thump before changing over. It seems unlikely the changeover will move northward in a straight, buzzkilling line, but that map kinda makes sense. I think.
  23. NorthArlington101
    I’m just (unwisely) hugging the HRRR. Shows a very equitable 3-5” across the region with some banding winners before a little sleet and a little rain.
  24. NorthArlington101
    Gonna be fun when we get more snow from the vort pass on Monday than the storm itself
  25. NorthArlington101
    3k has more snow in DC than CHO
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