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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    WxBell maps are friendlier so I'm gonna assume they've made the right call. I'll post when it wraps.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Personally, I see some room for improvement
  3. NorthArlington101
    Thanks! Not concerned - just saying. We'll talk about it for pages when it's good, though.
  4. NorthArlington101
    ICON is a step back at 12z.
  5. NorthArlington101
    Nasty gradient... 10" in NW Arlington, 3" in SE. It's also still ripping at this point in DC.
  6. NorthArlington101
    and FWIW - just because I think it's interesting to track how the newer-tech (not necessarily better, at all) models do - the SPIRE has held a 6-8"+ storm (kinda like the 00z GFS/CMC) sicne 00z yesterday. It only runs 2x a day.
  7. NorthArlington101
    if we're being technical that was it's high-res counterpart the HRDPS - but yeah, RGEM isn't a known winner either. I know we've already shared the EPS mean -- below is the median. Wanted to make sure there weren't crazy outliers propping up the mean. Still looks solid enough.
  8. NorthArlington101
    Yeah it looks like 12z unfortunately. The slightest bit better in the cities. Best improvement is for NE MD.
  9. NorthArlington101
    MSLP off NC/SC border at 90
  10. NorthArlington101
    at 88 seems extraordinarily unlikely this would cut. Track should be pretty sweet
  11. NorthArlington101
    better HP look on 00z thru 78
  12. NorthArlington101
    Lot of variety. Very unsettled.
  13. NorthArlington101
    GEFS - less heavy for the western folks, but massive cushion.
  14. NorthArlington101
    I’ve done that twice now this week - apologies for the haste. And excitement
  15. NorthArlington101
    Little early
  16. NorthArlington101
    We’re so back
  17. NorthArlington101
  18. NorthArlington101
  19. NorthArlington101
    on a scale of 1-10 how worried are we about suppression?
  20. NorthArlington101
    for you! Need a bit more in the metro. But very close to a great run for all… just faster now so lower ceiling.
  21. NorthArlington101
    00z ICON is a solid tick SE with the heavier stuff.
  22. NorthArlington101
    Snow mean wise it’s actually a decrease, but my guess is that’s more just the max potential slipping away. Curious to see what the median is.
  23. NorthArlington101
  24. NorthArlington101
    yeah, GFS runs too warm. prob subtract another 2-4 degrees of this run to run change.
  25. NorthArlington101
    probably not - but nice to know that outcome still exists in somewhere in the supercomputer's brain. FWIW, here is the snow depth map. I'd bite on 2-5" forum-wide, even in D.C. Too bad that has no bearing on the outcome
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