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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    I always welcome a storm that looks suppressed on guidance until even the short-term -- a true snowstorm for the Carolinas is so rare and Virginia usually reaps a lot of the benefits. Anyway, 06z GEFS. Right where I want it.
  2. NorthArlington101
    My brother on-Grounds confirms -- enjoy this one. Hope the ice holds off.
  3. NorthArlington101
    Sorta interesting.
  4. NorthArlington101
    That includes a lot of IP/ZR. This looks better (and is still a solid improvement)
  5. NorthArlington101
    Are we the only highly superstitious people here? Didn’t they see what happened to the last storm!
  6. NorthArlington101
    My nightmare is that the Thursday system is crucial enough to the Saturday system that it ends up ruining it somehow. Should be an amazing week of tracking, though. Admittedly I’m already feeling burnt out, and with my last semester of college starting up, I might need to work to regain some of this lost sleep, haha. Or I’ll lose even more, given it’s my last semester of college and I’ve got a post-grad job so I’ll be living it up.
  7. NorthArlington101
  8. NorthArlington101
    The solution for tomorrows storm locked in with 4 days out - just gotta hold for 2 more days
  9. NorthArlington101
    Sometimes I think Ji is onto something with his love of digital snow. It’s quite the dopamine hit
  10. NorthArlington101
    bing bong
  11. NorthArlington101
    Dc truly demolished at 162
  12. NorthArlington101
    Wasn’t trying to scare you off! Anyways, this image speaks for itself. Damn.
  13. NorthArlington101
    Hammered at 156
  14. NorthArlington101
    thank god the people reading this over in the morning get to see the same thing repeated three times, lol
  15. NorthArlington101
    looking big at 150 - moderate snow pushing up through VA
  16. NorthArlington101
    00z EURO - I’d post a comparison map to 18z but it really is practically the same. Still maybe the most aggressive guidance for the favored zones.
  17. NorthArlington101
    ya must be that one weather station near Tuckahoe Elementary, lol. Local wx stations all look to be about 15 degrees. Nice and chilly.
  18. NorthArlington101
    Pivotal and WxBell both have had some weird choppiness on their maps with this one - I feel like the snow algorithms are struggling to resolve the changeover period.
  19. NorthArlington101
    in Charlottesville, clearly
  20. NorthArlington101
    GFS is slightly snowier, FWIW.
  21. NorthArlington101
    My two cents on this storm is that places out on I-81 are vastly underestimating the icing potential with this one — DC gets up to like 50 on some of these models as the low tucks in so the ice isn’t gonna be a problem here for long but areas out there only get to 34, maybe. I think things are gonna suck (or be very enjoyable, if you like winter) out your way for sure.
  22. NorthArlington101
    I just don’t know what that means, I guess. Seems like a way to justify higher hopes, which is fine but not a reason to throw guidance out the window. The EURO/HRRR/ICON are already showing higher totals so it’s not like a boom scenario wouldn’t be caught by some of the models.
  23. NorthArlington101
    EURO/HRRR combo isn’t bad. Hug it and ignore everything else. 19/2 in Arlington, which is where my obs will be for this one. Good luck to my Charlottesville brethren.
  24. NorthArlington101
    That’s probably very true, but I don’t think it means you throw meteorology 101 out the window here in hopes of a weenie miracle, I guess is the point I’m trying to make. We obviously have some hope for a strong WAA push that helps keep things cooler. Psu mentioned something like that a few nights ago. I just don’t think that depends on a unique “this has never been seen before” event.
  25. NorthArlington101
    I don’t know about this argument… I mean every weather event is unique but it’s not like you can’t take from others where the low was running way less far to the west and extrapolate.
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