NorthArlington101

Both very fair -- the reason I choose to post the snow maps here vs. there is that I think posting them here starts a discussion on whether the threat has any merit, whereas posting them in the digital snow thread dooms them to never really be discussed. It may be generous to call the Day 7/8 storm a threat, but the period has been showing up for ~4 days as a window for some kind of storm, so what I'm *hoping* to do is spark discussion of the period... I'm a sicko who enjoys the leadup more than the actual event, unless it's a blizzard.

Nothing about the 06z? Better result at Day 7 with a similar set-up -- first flakes+ for favored spots. 00z EURO has the first snowstorm for the mountains but little for anyone else. EPS members have a handful that are decent and the control is an event for those out west.

Not really that close haha but a mix for the mountains. Warming up for mediocre winter analysis.

GFS might be teeing something up around Day 8… not smart enough to forecast what it’ll do but it looks interesting

The Control run pulls off the storm... just for the lolz: Maybe 10/51 members have something "trackable" at that range.

GFS is pretty interesting at Day 8 — if we’d had the past few days of model runs mid-winter this place might be buzzing.

Day 10 "threat window" was enough to get me to renew my subscription. Enough of these are interesting, especially just for an outside chance first flakes in mid-November. Welcome back all!

The big ones are sniffed out early

One day apart:

Urban(?) foliage. Hopefully some snow pics soon.

Different evolution… same timeline. First window watch [emoji102]

Starts around 300 hours - might be the closest we’ve got so far?

Thanks for hosting! Early guess (edited Dec. 1) BWI: 14.3" DCA: 11.1” IAD: 17.1" RIC: 8.3" Tiebreaker (SBY): 11"

12z was kinda close, honestly

Not intended to stir up any politics, so apologies, but it’s good to see that someone with some sway respects the ICON. [emoji6]

BWI: 11/01 IAD: 11/01 DCA: 11/14 RIC: 11/11 Peak Oct temp at DCA: 80F

I’ve got family in a large condo complex on Myrtle Beach - they are way high enough. Expecting some good storm videos!

I was going to be spending Thanksgiving at my girlfriends' parents house in Estero, Florida. Looking less likely -- everyone is out, thankfully.

Gotta learn to stop guessing over 100... overshoot it every year.

Digital snow thread ‘23?

[emoji848]

Looking west would’ve been ideal, but not what happened. Can see east and south pretty well, little bit north. Kind of a corner unit.

Moved into my Arlington apartment… got an eighth floor view which might have some weather photography benefits but the elevation in the part of the urban core I’m is a pithy 200”. Next.

fringed [emoji17]

And suddenly, it’s pouring.