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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. that’s where I lean too - the difference between 6” and 2” doesn’t get me on the road in the morning. 2” vs. 10”, however…
  2. Charlottesville: maybe 6” of snow, some ice, less rain, back at college a few days early Arlington: maybe 3” (okay 1” probably) of snow, maybe some ice, rain, maybe a Monday snow shower, home cooked meals Tough call.
  3. he’s running the DT model at this point - no OP guidance from the last day shows quite what he’s showing — those upper end totals are gonna be tough to hit. Not to say it’s wrong and I admire the boldness I suppose, but…
  4. It was terrible with the Jan 3 storm earlier in the year until a day or so out, FWIW
  5. Gun to my head I'd agree with that, but the NAMs do give me some pause. Think others have toted the possibility of that warm nose sneaking in earlier than progged and the NAM does do a good job with that. If both NAMs hold that look throughout the day, I think there could start being some serious ice storm murmurs.
  6. yeah, that one is a pass. couple more runs like that and my journey to cville may get canceled. think I can wait till Sunday morning to make the call. ice + wind = cya, I'm out.
  7. it’s what, 12” of snow in 48 hours? .25” an hour? toss. You’ve changed man
  8. CFS have any value in the short-range? Or the NAVGEM?
  9. First round of brine on some streets in Arlington. #itshappening
  10. I'm rather stunned by the consistency of outcomes from a few days ago, especially for something with so many moving parts. Today's 12z 12z on 1/11
  11. my favorite fun fact -- Charlottesville has the same amount of restaurants per capita as New York City (and most are really good)
  12. Mets are designing their own models to show a better outcome, smh /s
  13. You'd look at these panels and assume everyone is about to get totally smoked...
  14. you are totally right -- not sure why it leaps to the coast when it becomes a p-type map.
  15. I suppose it ultimately doesn't seem to matter -- you can see it's having difficulty resolving the exact placement of the low. As others have noted, this outcome seems pretty locked regardless of exactly where the model decides the SLP is. It's looked like this for 2 days straight in one form or another.
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