It’s a lot of rain first but temps fall into the upper twenties in the metros (colder north, significantly) so I’d guess it accretes anyways, least on trees
The perfect event is one that shows up 3 days out. 5 days out works. I just like seeing the UKIE actually be a good sign that the EURO will improve for once. I want a return to model normalcy.
The GEFS have been keying on that period as wintry -- maybe more ice than snow, but it's good to have something in the medium range to keep a lazy eye on.
You've been a fan of this pre-coastal stuff for a few days now - does it mean anything at all that the short-range models got the start time really wrong? Is this an earlier start, earlier finish kind of deal or is this "bonus."
Having to remind myself this is just bonus -- HRRR, which ain't doing great right now I'll admit, still gets us to 2.5" (seems extreme) but the best stuff isn't progged till like 7-8... that's what I'm telling myself at least