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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Looking like a terrible bust, but also think it looks like most of us will warm up too much for it to be impactful. You might get lucky with your location + timing. HDRPS doesn’t look totally crazy though, if it clouds up a bit earlier… has .25” of ice here lol.
  2. NorthArlington101
    If this works out (radar says it might) the Canadian suite has been on this.
  3. NorthArlington101
    Sucks for Charlottesville. Next
  4. NorthArlington101
    I mean the consequence from the cold push being less vigorous is that DC is only getting down to 30 instead of like 26 at 00z — it’s trending less impactful in the metro on the GFS, imo
  5. NorthArlington101
    @stormtracker @WinterWxLuvr this was the visual I was looking at earlier - matters for the Central VA folks, maybe not up there
  6. NorthArlington101
    I guess I’m looking with an IMBY focus — Cville has gone to basically nothing on this run from precious runs that had a few tenths. Don’t like ice, that’s fine, but it’s happening
  7. NorthArlington101
    If you flip it back like 3/4 runs though you can see it going somewhat consistently more north — might be working on a meet in the middle trend.
  8. NorthArlington101
    00z EURO is a slight shift towards the GFS but it’s not there - gets some decent ice into the northern parts of the subforum.
  9. NorthArlington101
    Thought this was a super interesting map - need to open the tweet, it’s the second one.
  10. NorthArlington101
    Majority of the GEFS members support the OP:
  11. NorthArlington101
    Tough week
  12. NorthArlington101
    Per WxBell maps:
  13. NorthArlington101
    still going then, too
  14. NorthArlington101
    the only thing more annoying than the GFS folding is the GFS not folding, if you catch my drift
  15. NorthArlington101
  16. NorthArlington101
  17. NorthArlington101
    Northern parts of the subforum start flipping to snow around hr100
  18. NorthArlington101
    Look at that gradient -- would be sick to just stand outside and feel that shift
  19. NorthArlington101
    If the GFS is gonna fold entirely, it's not this run. Just noise differences thru hr89 by my eyes, cold push maybe a hair slower
  20. NorthArlington101
    not for DCA, but
  21. NorthArlington101
    I sorta meant the original storm so I went back and added maps from 6 hours earlier the moment before you quoted me -- but it does matter for both storms.
  22. NorthArlington101
    For the record, the 12z EPS Control is a fair bit colder than 00z and 06z. The EPS as a whole is as well, but we definitely need more. 12z EPS mean 06z EPS mean
  23. NorthArlington101
    As I (and others) have tried to point out, the GFS was way too east with the weekend blizzard for much of the medium and short range. Wasn’t even close
  24. NorthArlington101
    what's a few hundred miles among friends?
  25. NorthArlington101
    A snapshot of the GEFS:
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