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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. GFS is a nice positive shift. Snow depth maps are a widespread 2-3”.
  2. FV3 Hi-Res looks like a really fun Saturday. Hoping it signals a nice GFS run in an hour.
  3. The 3k NAM does hate this event though, haha. Would still be a nice wintry day in mid-March but that's a low-end outcome.
  4. It's a step in the right direction -- less sleet for you, more snow. The way it shows the sleet is pretty funny, lol. The 10:1 map looks great for you in particular, surprised so little translates to snow depth.
  5. Pick whichever kind of snow map speaks to you the most -- all are generally an improvement -- can't say it is for everyone, but mostly.
  6. 18z EURO has the system a lot more put together. Looking like it should be a wetter run.
  7. WPC is certainly a little bullish - has the 50% for >2” running just NW of the NW DC border. Don’t know if they consider snow depth, but I like to see it regardless.
  8. The WxBell maps showed 2”+ of sleet out around Warrenton. But yes, not a great run overall as far as snow is concerned.
  9. On mobile so image sharing sucks but 12z EPS is clearly drier as well - looks about the same otherwise, extends push of accumulating snow maybe a bit further south.
  10. EURO looks like it’ll hold. Almost looks like the seasonal SE MD/CVA jackpot might show this run too.
  11. Unrelated -- FV3 Hi-Res showing that nice squall signature on the back.
  12. I'm wondering if it's doing that thing @high risk(I believe) mentioned where conditions *might* briefly support sleet for like 5 minutes as it transitions to snow but then the model output renders it sleeting for the whole 3hr period or so.
  13. So... exactly what I said? I'm happy to take the tradeoff of Winchester losing 3" of snow if it means the rest of us see more, but I totally understand why you wouldn't be.
  14. This is an interesting tweet -- squalls would obviously be fun.
  15. 3k NAM has it snowing for a few hours while DCA is down into the upper 20s. That'll get us a wintry scene for a little bit, at least.
  16. 12k NAM is an improvement. Cautiously optimistic given that we are seeing positive trends across guidance.
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