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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Join in the Zoom chat! @psuhoffman is live and dazzling us with his knowledge.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Hi-Res FV3 took a slight step backward but still pretty decent for everyone, favored zones favored.
  3. NorthArlington101
    What I said above about sleet I still believe to be true but it does have a nasty I-95 dry slot - hope it’s wrong.
  4. NorthArlington101
    I’d wager the 12k is overestimating the amount of sleet we get based on the downstream obs + every other short range model. But we’ll see in 12 hours
  5. NorthArlington101
    For the debbest debs, even the snow depth map would be a great event for March.
  6. NorthArlington101
    It's got the deathband for ya up there but spreads the love much better than the HDRPS.
  7. NorthArlington101
    Not worth overanalyzing the HRRR yet (or probably ever) but it has sleet lasting for ~15 minutes at most places before it turns over to snow from 5:30-8:30 west/east. Should be a pretty quick transition all things considered.
  8. NorthArlington101
    I'm assuming this is just Senior Champs? Yeah, weird it's not at GMU. It's an annoying event to miss for sure -- I missed the 2015 squall, something super unique that I might never see again, who knows. It just happens. I missed that 8"er earlier this season too.
  9. NorthArlington101
    pulling this to banter -- but I do have to move! i've got a government consulting job with a company HQ'd in Arlington -- you can probably narrow it down fairly fast. if remote work was possible, I'd highly consider living somewhere cheaper and snowier for at least a bit, but for now it's probably the typical young professional Arlington lifestyle.
  10. NorthArlington101
    I'm home for Spring Break for the week -- seems like my odds of something cool might be better in Arlington so I stuck it out for the weekend too. We'll see. After this May I graduate then my name will make sense most of the year again, unless I live in the snow hellhole that is DC
  11. NorthArlington101
    It's too bad the GEFS suck. All I take from it personally is that they keep upping the ante. That can only be good, I'd think
  12. NorthArlington101
  13. NorthArlington101
    I missed plenty of events for swim/water polo. It always stings but you’ll get over it - I’m sure you won’t abandon your team but I’d definitely advise against it! Feel free to vent to me though, I’ve been there.
  14. NorthArlington101
    it might be including the sleet - decent chunk of it to the SE
  15. NorthArlington101
    yeah I'm not seeing 10" even on the weeniest map -- it's better than 12z though
  16. NorthArlington101
    nope, if the WxBell maps agree, that’s a massive shift. Some of the ens looked like that, though.
  17. NorthArlington101
    i mean, technically, if the NAMs are right, I think it would probably be -- below is the 3hr snowfall + gust panels for 8-11am
  18. NorthArlington101
    we won't hit blizzard criteria, but is this the first time the NWS has mentioned the b-word in a winter weather advisory/WSW text for the metro proper since 2016?
  19. NorthArlington101
  20. NorthArlington101
    LWX updated it's maps with the advisory:
  21. NorthArlington101
    For those interested:
  22. NorthArlington101
    it's all about getting HRDPS'd these days. but I'd count the 6" the NAM gives most of us as being NAM'd anyway
  23. NorthArlington101
    the 3k backs up the 12k... when do we start buying into a 2-4"+ storm for everyone (outside SE MD/DE)
  24. NorthArlington101
    12k NAM is more delayed than other models on the changeover and it *looked* like the heaviest stuff was headed but it slams us regardless. It actually moistened up a ton to the south... 1.5" inches of precip in 6 hours around Williamsburg. Very juicy.
  25. NorthArlington101
    The gusts are the truly nuts part. When the storm is really going off (about ~3" 10:1 in 2hrs for most of us), it's gusting 35-45mph for most of the area. Should be an exciting few hours.
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