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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. yeah I'm not seeing 10" even on the weeniest map -- it's better than 12z though
  2. nope, if the WxBell maps agree, that’s a massive shift. Some of the ens looked like that, though.
  3. i mean, technically, if the NAMs are right, I think it would probably be -- below is the 3hr snowfall + gust panels for 8-11am
  4. we won't hit blizzard criteria, but is this the first time the NWS has mentioned the b-word in a winter weather advisory/WSW text for the metro proper since 2016?
  5. it's all about getting HRDPS'd these days. but I'd count the 6" the NAM gives most of us as being NAM'd anyway
  6. the 3k backs up the 12k... when do we start buying into a 2-4"+ storm for everyone (outside SE MD/DE)
  7. 12k NAM is more delayed than other models on the changeover and it *looked* like the heaviest stuff was headed but it slams us regardless. It actually moistened up a ton to the south... 1.5" inches of precip in 6 hours around Williamsburg. Very juicy.
  8. The gusts are the truly nuts part. When the storm is really going off (about ~3" 10:1 in 2hrs for most of us), it's gusting 35-45mph for most of the area. Should be an exciting few hours.
  9. All of it -- looks like a snow sounding. DCA should be all snow by just a hair after 8, verbatim, unless I'm missing a sneaky warm layer.
  10. Decent odds of a 3" snowstorm (10:1, at least) for much of the subforum, per the EPS.
  11. There were many infuriating parts of last nights game, but our offensive rebounding was terrible. Caffaro (who I have a personal dislike for after sharing classes with, so I'm biased) was largely just a body in the paint. He lacked any aggressiveness and was largely useless defensively as well. Shedrick is so much better but he'll foul out in 10 minutes if he's left in the game.
  12. WWA's have to be coming for the close burbs/DC -- somewhat surprised they aren't out yet.
  13. GFS is slower with the transition to snow and has more sleet than the models that are really slamming us. Good news is I trust the GFS the least to get those details right.
  14. Hi-Res FV3 has had it's best run of the storm. If we are saying that the snow depth maps are bunk (thanks @psuhoffmanfor the permission to do that) then we gotta start thinking about 1-2" as the floor. Ceiling looks increasingly like WSW criteria.
  15. I'm surprised we cared enough about football to throw batteries at you, honestly. I am definitely excited about next year, especially since we keep the best pieces from this year... once Reece Beekman learns how to shoot, it's over for the ACC. I'm also cautiously optimistic about our football team and our Heisman-quality QB. If we can get some semblance of an offensive line, our schedule looks pretty easy.
  16. UVA utterly collapsed. What a tease it was when this team beat and then held close with Duke. Best of luck to the Hokies, I really don't hate ya'll unless you are playing us. Need more Virginia representation in March Madness this year anyway.
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