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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Yeah, if I thought the SREF was a legit model, this would be a worrying/exciting trend.
  2. I feel like I've heard that before, but that bolded part is truly nuts and ends up being so misleading, especially for models that only have those 3/6 hour intervals.
  3. On a more serious note -- I'm somewhat skeptical it accretes that perfectly at 30-32 degrees and moderate/heavy precip. Timing has "improved" so it has that going for it.
  4. hmm... not quite at the stage of taking the 3k serious but that's much more widespread than I'd would have guessed
  5. I've got a goldfish-like memory but it's arguably the best look of the year
  6. There will be no event then EURO will follow -- nature has returned to its natural balance
  7. Snow/mix in the parts area at 123 on the EURO north of about Culpeper mostly rain for all by 129 (using the 3hr maps)- pretty much a nothingburger. 00z was better with winter effects from that wave even though this was slightly further south.
  8. One of my weather goals is to be in a snow squall warning… missed the one in 2015 that I guess predated the warning’s existence, but I’m sure it would’ve qualified.
  9. also, just looking at temps/timing, this wouldn’t be that bad minus our far northern areas. Marginal and daylight.
  10. looks eerily similar to the last ice threat. Back to needing the euro on board for me to buy this
  11. Yep - back to having everything dusted. Would be nice to have this hold for a bit but it seems unlikely. Radar isn’t doing a great job though so who knows
  12. Yeah, I've been eyeing this as the redemption for my area tonight. Seems like a lot of the mesos have T-1" down here from the snow showers later this evening, which I think have a better shot at sticking than much of what did today. Fingers crossed.
  13. Everything minus the pavement is pretty dusted in Charlottesville - we’ll call that a win.
  14. Coming down at a decent clip at UVA. Hoping to get a uniform trace, probably a few tenths if I actually had a snowboard, then call it a day unless the snow showers tonight materialize.
  15. the GFS still insists I’ll get >4”. Why did anyone fall in love with this model again?
  16. Ground a little white and cars a little topped in Charlottesville. Doubt we’re moving beyond a trace but I guess you never know
  17. Yeah, this has been forseeable for a bit. I’m sure I’ll see snow - just not expecting the bullseye.
  18. 00Z GFS is going down in flames or will score the greatest coup in its history.
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