NorthArlington101

3k NAM with ~4 hours of 1"+ rates at DCA with 30-40mph wind gusts... really could be a fun one. I'd think the depth map is an underestimate.

EURO/HRRR have the changeover at about 8:00am.

This is the perfect kind of storm though -- one to two days of cold and snow before warmth returns. Check out this panel. How can you turn this down!

06z EURO steady from overnight, puts the heaviest snow over the metro. Image order is Kuchera/10:1/Snow Depth

Similar language even in the close burbs… man, if we can pull off a really fun windy storm, I’d have to boost my winter grade up a whole letter. “Rain and snow, possibly mixed with sleet before noon, then snow, possibly mixed with sleet between noon and 3pm, then snow likely after 3pm. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 44. Breezy, with a northwest wind 13 to 18 mph increasing to 19 to 24 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.”

take your pick of snow map -- I know which I'd prefer but not scoffing at the widespread 2-3"

wow, this run really upped the ante. gonna be 2”+ more than the previous based on 10:1

EURO colder and a bit wetter thru hr38 - snowing at a solid clip in DC widespread 1”+/hr at 39

It’s below freezing in DC by hr39 too so a lot of it should stick just fine, especially with the rates - liking the runs tonight.

I’d need someone smarter to look under the hood but that is what it shows the p-type as, yet it also has accumulating snow. I’m assuming it’s doing a bad job of showing the transition - could use those 1hr EURO maps.

GFS is a nice positive shift. Snow depth maps are a widespread 2-3”.

sorry, I grabbed the wrong tweet to

FV3 Hi-Res looks like a really fun Saturday. Hoping it signals a nice GFS run in an hour.

The 3k NAM does hate this event though, haha. Would still be a nice wintry day in mid-March but that's a low-end outcome.

It's a step in the right direction -- less sleet for you, more snow. The way it shows the sleet is pretty funny, lol. The 10:1 map looks great for you in particular, surprised so little translates to snow depth.

NWS upped totals, at least in the cities.

00z HRRRRRRRR

I got 10m winds -- this is the most impressive panel.

Pick whichever kind of snow map speaks to you the most -- all are generally an improvement -- can't say it is for everyone, but mostly.

18z EURO has the system a lot more put together. Looking like it should be a wetter run.

WPC is certainly a little bullish - has the 50% for >2” running just NW of the NW DC border. Don’t know if they consider snow depth, but I like to see it regardless.

The WxBell maps showed 2”+ of sleet out around Warrenton. But yes, not a great run overall as far as snow is concerned.

12k NAM dropping a sleet bomb in parts of the subforum at hr45