FXWX

Yikes... Brain freeze... I totally forgot about the early Oct heat! My focus on weekend ruining rain events has obviously gotten the better of me!!!

Early Sept?

This fall has been remarkably unremarkable...

Not that I follow BAMwx, but saw this screen grab of their winter snowfall on X... Probably not going to put smiles on the faces of snow lovers... again, this is their assessment, not mine...

Burlington

Thank you... not sure where that link went in my bookmarks, but that's the one... Stay dry; lol

Off topic... looking for the link that shows current locations of airport AWOS / ASOS units? Specifically, for KBDR? looking for map or image showing the location of the ASOS at BDR? I used to have a for this info, but can't find it? thx

Agree... I went with low clouds/fog/mist/drizzle with very spotty areas of light rain, but nothing significant for the majority of the region until later this evening; did highlight eastern CT for some decent showers this morning into early afternoon...

No biggie... not terribly important in the grand scheme of things; pretty common occurrence in these low-level saturated setups. Visibility down to a few hundred feet in the hills... at least locally... couple models, especially euro, the nailed eastern CT rain this morning.

Actually the radar is missing quite a bit of drizzle and light rain... had to take a drive from Burlington to New Britain and back through the Farmington Valley west into the Harwinton area and went through several pockets of drizzle / light rain... none of which were on the radar...

This is one my stratus rain gauges that had not been emptied since Sept. 23rd...

4:09"

Right now, suppression is not my concern.

Agree... while heavy / excessive totals are unusually limited in coverage as one would expect, the frequency of these locally excessive events since July has been amazing. And I do think the big storm frequency will carry over into the cold season, especially Jan/Feb.

3.30 here in Burlington...

Lol... I certainly won't count on it... or we will get it with +10 degree temps at 850 mb

actually Friday / Saturday period...

PXL_20230925_145238050.TS.mp4

PXL_20230925_145226091.TS.mp4

Bunnel River in Burlington... 3.69" here... PXL_20230925_145226091.TS.mp4

Still crushes parts of srn CT but rapid decrease from nrn CT north and east... Part of that probably has to do with the capture and northwest track of Ophelia into central NC, which greatly limits northeast push of moisture field? I do think there is support for heavy rain zone south of SNE, whether or not it can punch north into southern portions of SNE is up for grabs...

Well that's something we will likely say a thousand times over the next 6 months...

Probably the most over used term on the board; second to only stein...

Good question with no simple answer. A few things in play... the friction increase is the most determental item to maintaining the speed you see over the open ocean... also factors such as terrain features, elevation, wide open areas v urban areas, as well as the direction of the wind all play into how much wind speeds will decrease. Another very important factor is whether or not the low-level atmosphere is stable or not... many times the atmosphere near the coast is more unstable (warmer at the surface through the lower levels of the atmosphere) and this allows the very strong winds often found between 2 and 4 thousand feet to mix down to the surface. Many times the inland temperature profile is more stable, warms as you go higher into the 2 to 4 thousand foot level. This prevents the strong winds aloft from mixing down to the surface across inland area. Although high elevations can have an easier time seeing strong winds. The more unstable the lower atmosphere is the easier it is to get the stronger winds to the surface. Most of the time, if I don't think the inland air mass will be unstable (able to mix) I cut modeled land wind gust by 5 to 10% .