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Everything posted by FXWX
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Like most major decisions, it was made in conjunction with NWS folks and emergency management leaders... It really is not even about the game perse; it's about the safety of having thousands of travelers on the road and no way to get to them... Folks have short memories about how many people died last year in the Buf blizzard. I'd love to see a game in blizzard conditions, but it's the big picture more than the game....
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That's what I think of all the time... I don't doubt Tip's velocity / compression issues, but I do wonder why there "appears" to be less of an impact on the Midwest bomb events. Now I may be completely wrong,and I've really studied it, but it's just a general sense I get from watching multiple potent Midwest cutters over the last few years.
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What I find a bit distressing and it's happening more and more, is the small number of posters who have no desire to enjoy the meteorological setups right in front of them, but instead look for ways to post negative predictions about what it looks like 10 days to 2-weeks down the road. I'm ok with general pattern comments about the extended range period, but for a small handful of folks it's a constant harang of negative ball-busting vibes...
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It was a great storm... Forecasting was excellent... But sleet was a limiting factor for some... Great triple phaser...
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Again.. you said 2+ feet!!! The vast majority of the "Northeast" did not get 2+ feet... Pretty obvious on the graphic below...
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The "whole Northeast" is a non-starter! The nature / structure of Northeast winter storms makes that almost impossible!!! Region-wide 2+ snowfalls are literally impossible to pull off...
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1/9-1/10 Now Morphing to Less-Than-Exciting Power Cutter
FXWX replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Road closures across Fairfield County in CT causing delay issues with some districts... -
First step to recovery is admitting you have problem... Good first step... Lol
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1/9-1/10 Now Morphing to Less-Than-Exciting Power Cutter
FXWX replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
After a burst of early afternoon snow and sleet, freezing rain has been ongoing since 2 pm in the high elevations of Burlington, CT... 1,100+ ft. driveway a sleet of ice; icicles handing from the mailbox... 31 degrees -
Looks a bit breezy. lol
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9.5" here in Burlington, CT... 1,140'... Some 2' drifts.
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8.3 Burlington CT
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coated the ground in Norfolk, CT... light dusting here...
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I think you have it actually right... Like so many big qpf producers we have seen over the past several months, the potential for heavy rates is certainly enhanced given the setup; this time snow, not flooding rains! While the banding signal looks good, this might be a situation where the banding max zone is wider than we might normally expect? Still time to tinker with trends, but goal posts are narrowing...
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Basically on the same page... I think some folks a dismissing the possible -NAO impacts on 1/10 storm; given the time range I would be careful that wintery impacts won't occur further south into parts of interior SNE...
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Just looking for a bit of clarification as to your thinking... I might be completely wrong (good chance), and assume you are talking about the entire NA upper level construct having a La Nina vibe. But in terms of storm tracks, isn't this system's snow / rain layout pretty typical of El Nino winters? I've always thought El Nino winters favored some big interior Mid Atlantic / SNE events with the typical coastal plain precip type issues. The Pacific sst anomaly is clearly in El Nino mode but there appears to be a disconnect with some of the more typical El Nino atmospheric features / indexes? But in terms of East Coast action this kind of fits the mode... Am I wrong about that???
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Second paragraph is perfect! That's exactly what I am expecting, and something that is fairly common. Of course, it is going to produce an outcry of "I was screwed" or "another meh storm" from folks sitting just north of the east/northeast hvy snow axis. Barring any over amped short wave trends, the large scale flow should limit the northward extent of the best snows.
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Another aggrieved 30+ or 40+ guy complaining about how bad life is!!! Lol. Give me a break...