FXWX

I told you yesterday to never trust a warm front's modeled position. This had a pretty solid cold/cool air mass sitting across eastern New England and it should not be shocking it is struggling to blast northeast across SNE. That being said, still an interesting setup and you cannot dismiss some of the basics in play with this event; just yet. Could still turn into a solid northwest flow event, but this has almost always looked like a southeastern NY / west-southwestern CT deal. The question now is can we destabilize enough on the back side of the warm front or will cloud debris put a nail in the instability coffin. Things can and often do change quickly and anyone dismissing the possibility of this becoming a nasty event for western CT should wait a bit.