FXWX

Agree John... It's not something that can be easily incorporated into the winter forecast, but given climate trends and an increasing frequency of excessive precipitation events, it certainly deserves a bolded footnote!

Exactly... While arctic sand / powder storms might be hard to come by, ante is upped for slush bombs?

I'm ok with that... Overall a great early fall Goldilocks pattern; not too warm; not too cold, not too wet and not too dry... Certainly not extreme... A little boring for sure but with the likelihood of an active East Coast winter, I'm ok with boring right now...

Agree...

I might be misreading it, but that shows a 6-week anomaly total for most of New England in the -0.5 to -1.0 inch range. Certainly not anything overly concerning? Instead of ~4 inches of rain over the next 6 weeks, most get 3.0 to 3.5 inches? Assuming that product is close to accurate, which is always iffy.

Ain't that the sad truth!!!

Yes, the 4th was sweet in this area; still a lot of roof damage work being done... Can't disagree about the discussed pattern. It has been a remarkably stable setup with eastern VA, eastern PA / NJ to greater NYC area being the sweet spot. It's not like a one and done pattern for those areas, it's been multiple severe weather events every week. The nw - se flow has been locked in and as you note, blocking any significant northeast expansion of good stuff. Amazing what a modest northeast shift would have of done for our area? I have friends in eastern PA and they gone through a bunch of nail-biting events...

Not even one "low cape / high shear" event!

Go get them Wiz!!!

Like a science fiction movie!

Got it... Thanks, I forgot about Polar wx

Kev... What site do you view Google Deep Mind tropical graphic?

We will see, but I do like extreme global events (this year's El Nino for example) to produce unexpected big synoptic events...

I've always thought Kev should built a house at elevation in northern Litchfield county or the Berks... Would greatly improve his outlook about life.

I know a lot of this discussion is tongue and cheek, but given the high probability of above normal precip this winter, the potential for a couple of nasty / disruptive Nor'easters is on the table! Wall to wall snow cover! NO! But multiple big eastern US and East Coast storm events will produce some significant threats; including interior CT... Marginal temps for sure, but dynamic events nonetheless...

It's just enough to mess up outdoor activities in the summer, but in the winter, it is always fun with roads getting a bit greasy while a mile away there is nothing...

I see that all the time at my location when persistent southeast flows saturate the low-levels... I love it in the winter when it leads to hours of snizzle (snow / drizzle) events... Once out of the highest elevations of town, it shuts off...

It's all about sun angle! Kills the snow pack this time of the year....lol

Agree, and think there is decent multi modeling suggestions that we will see several periods when +PNA / - AO will work in tandem with a juiced up El Nino to present us with some big potential. Wall to wall snow cover? NO! Above normal Temp? YES... But solid opportunities for disruptive snow periods.

Thanks... The promos for it are inticing. I'm at the point that if I add another app, I should probably drop one...

How do you find WeatherFront compared to the host of other apps / sites?

Very impressive damage summary from BOX from Springfield and adjacent areas!

Very well documented for decades...

Lots of CGs... Including positive strokes that are downright scary!

It's a prolific lightning producer!!! Lots of power surges. Wires down in Burlington...