FXWX

https://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/index_e.html Here is the link but don 't see the black on white anomaly plot. I used to use that all the time...

Ok; now we are getting somewhere; this should be easy for you; Just state which ones fit your ranking of A/A+. I'm sure you've had so many during your life so far, they should be on the tip of your tongue... lol

Wow; lol... I need to know which winter seasons you would grade as an A; better yet which ones that you lived through would you give an A+...

How would you classify 2014 - 2015?

That's because it's used differently by different folks. If the snow drought continues, some call it persistence regardless of large scale pattern changes. Most mets, including myself, tend to look at the pattern changes, not the outcome when talking about persistence.

Not sure... but when it got warm it disappeared? Still researching..

Pic from 12/27/2010... Big-time clean-up operation in Burington, CT...

Was there ever anybody calling fo snow Friday?

Agree... When dealing with many El Nino winters, there are always going to be concerns about the ability to get widespread snows even when you get a great storm track; especially early in the winter. I'm just happy to see storm frequency and intensity continuing since I expect it to pay dividends during Jan & Feb. But, coverage and intensity of cold air masses will be an issue during much of the winter. I'll roll the dice given active storm pattern. While I am in no way looking at 2015 walking through the door, there are too many trends such as trend for Canadian heights like to shift westward, potential for PV disturbance, possible strato warming event and active storm track too dismiss the upside to Jan / Feb period.

Who are you going to believe, ORH or qg-omega? lol... not really a fair fight.

Agree and apologize for replying within the December thread. I almost always avoid getting into non relevant to thread topic posts... But this time my urge was to respond overwhelmed.

You are perfect example of what problem is these days with trying to discuss science related topics from climate change to vaccinations. It's never an all or nothing argument. There is no doubt there is a human component to climate trends. The question is how significant??? It is certainly not 100% nor is it 0%. Folks can stick their heads in the sand and block their ears if they want to, but that does not change the facts about climate trends and the likely partial input from humans. On the other hand, those who want to scream and shout that the issue is 100% human caused are just as guilty. My suggestion is read a variety of peer reviewed studies and stop listening to the extremes on both sides. Is will be my one and only post on the subject. I have zero desire to try to convince folks on the extremes of either side of the issue what to believe...

Great post Tip... But you have to stop using logic and solid meteorological reason, it spoils the negative theme of this thread. Lol...

Actually quite a few. A hardware chain up there is one of my clients and they fly off the shelves every storm... Usually they try to get extra units in the days leading up to an event. But the number of folks without still very much out weighs the number that do...

49 mph gust here... 1,160' elevation... 10 meter tower.

Yep

Just a note since I am already dealing with this issue... If HWW continues for parts of eastern CT, superintendents are going to pull the plug... Especially in heavily wooded towns...

The blend product certainly should grab attention... Best to treat this as a hybrid tropical system... Using last week's storm as a general baseline for wind but increasing 15 to 20 mph over those numbers.

That's the best part...

Well... 0z Nam was right out of Kevin's wet dream!!! Yikes....

It's always a factor... Kinda offset this time of the year by lack of leaves.

Agree to disagree... I would confidently predict, far more damage has occurred over the decades during the cold season from gradient driven northwest backside winds than southeast flow events. Especially inland zones. Not trying to Debbie downer and think this one has some decent support...

Of course, that assumes they will be correct, which we all know is frequently not always the case. I do find this system to have a slightly higher chance of verifying; again favoring eastern coastal zones. The last system featured a steadily decreasing threat as we moved from last Friday on into Sunday. Right now, with another 48 hours of trend watching to go, this system seems to be holding a bit more steady... For inland areas, the systems I tend to get excited about are northwest flow events driven by tightening pressure gradients and strong CAA... These southerly flow events are very hard get most inland areas to see widespread damaging gusts... It can happen, but they are relatively rare. I'd watch for any trends of note with the 0z runs... Any backing down would be a red flag....once again the focus is on eastern coastal areas, where if you are not breaking 55 mph, it's not a big deal.