FXWX

Nevermind it was sitting right there all the time.... Don't know how my aging eyes missed it...

Been trying to find that snow report graph... Is that somewhere on the BOX homepage?

Can you share the link for this product?

5.5"

Better luck next time...

4.5" total now at 1,200' in Burlington, CT

3.0" here at 1,200'

Desktop is working on mine...

Tough call as to how far north you have to go up the I-91 corridor to get more than a slushy cover or an inch?

Litchfield City on into the high terrain areas of far western/northwestern HFD cty and then Northern Tolland on into northern Windham counties would be where I'd expect advisory statements.

Yes it does... And makes lots sense...

That's why the issuance of maps for many areas has to accompanied by a detailed topo discussion; better yet an in-person phone conversation. There is almost no way to accurately depict the gradient across your area; same for portions of western & west-central CT.

Just under an inch here in Burlington, CT!

I've been looking at the Probabilistic Precipitation Portal Maps (https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Prob_Precip/) ... Their blend of models for the maps is shown in the attached text image. A combo of these maps and the HREF suite is my starting point, which I then tweak. The occasionally have a bias of being a bit too conservative but overall do a decent job.

Agree... Waiting game right now... Some consistent signals that it happens far enough east focus best rates from northeast CT on north and east into interior eastern Mass.

While I would remain cautious about some of increasing totals in this morning's short range guidance, there is a solid trend towards juicing this system up, as noted by Wiz... Probably going to be a 2-3 hour period of enhanced rates across parts of the region?

Multiple levels of sw wind at that!

We will see... Would be perfectly happy to see a normal to modestly above normal (+1 to +3) mid to late December... But fear the ability of our current climo trend to bust warmer than expected!

All I know is, the last several winters have almost always seen extended period moderating periods verifying even warmer than originally modeled, while modeled cold periods ended up shorter than first expected? This repeating winter theme is getting old. I know right now the Pacific looks different than the last couple of Decembers, but the same scenario is in play? Hopefully trends move in a more favorable direction for the midmonth period, but who knows!

Sometimes bigger is not better? Puns aside, I'm not always a fan of highly anomalous features trying to deliver. Potential to squash a storm event in increases. Fun to watch for sure, especially compared to lots of failed early winter patterns of late.

Wind Chills looks a bit cold on T-Day morning in the BOX Hartford County update... LOL THANKSGIVING DAY RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH, BECOMING NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 120 BELOW IN THE MORNING.

Hopefully it doesn't go the 1989 route!

With lots ensemble support for a colder than normal start to December, there are 2 questions; 1 how stable will it be and will consistent storm activity materialize during the cold period? The medium to long range ensemble data has been growing more adamant about the early month pattern being pretty stable and possibly have legs. Whether or not it stays that way or folds heading into the 2nd week heading toward mid-month is far from certain. Storm wise, lots of uncertainty but I'll take my chances compared to the last few Decembers.

not sure...

Even when Walt misses a bit, he's better than most...