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FXWX

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by FXWX

  1. FXWX
    850/700 inflow configuration continues to improve (IMHO), and I suspect we will see qpf numbers inch up further, especially from central / northern Mass on eastward into interior northeastern Mass. In fact, I'm becoming more impressed with the hvy snow potential across these areas??? For southern CT/RI/southeastern Mass folks, the 850/700 centers are a bit too close for comfort and will likely cause some precip type issues, unless then trend a bit further south.
  2. FXWX
    I think the GFS has a reasonable trend both surface and aloft but I expect it's max qpf axis to adjust further north... Confluence trends are strongly arguing for a heck of fronto band setting up... I usually favor the fronto band to setup a bit further north than modeled at 5 days out.
  3. FXWX
    Nice trend; at least for now... I long for the days when we would see a solid arctic air mass sitting across the Northeast the NE prior to a storm's arrival...
  4. FXWX
    I would always rather play the odds with suppression than pattern dominated by strong southern stream...
  5. FXWX
    Based on recent history it is a valid concern... Kind of the Charlie Brown/ Lucy football scenario...
  6. FXWX
    1,140' will do that... Today I drove to Waterbury for expert witness testimony and there was nary a flake on the ground down there...
  7. FXWX
    Still a nice wintery scene across the high points Burlington, CT... Sunday's 4" snow/sleet holding tight and solid glaze from several freezing rain on trees, etc... My Rainwise anemometer still encased in ice!
  8. FXWX
    January 30, 2022
  9. FXWX
    3.9 Burlington... 1,140'
  10. FXWX
    Lots of lingering moisture with enough lift to keep occasional light snow and additional coatings into predawn hours. Common for Litchfield cty to see these things linger even with poor radar presentation. Drives DPW crews up there crazy across the county since it forces retreatments and the occasional scraping. Most crews will call it quits soon and then come back in prior to bus runs in the morning...
  11. FXWX
    Conservative... Won't go with 3... 1-2 mainly along and north of 84
  12. FXWX
    Yes... Icycles hanging from the porch railings etc...
  13. FXWX
    It's not a pure snow line... It's mainly a mix of sleet and snow... Here is be mainly heavy sleet mixed with snow...
  14. FXWX
    Yep... it will all be based on feedback from local DPW and facility guys...
  15. FXWX
    still an interesting 12 to 14 hour period coming up...
  16. FXWX
    I think we still have a tricky 12 to 14 hour period ahead... not so much about heavy qpf, but lots of variety of types... Image if we just had a "normal" air mass sliding back into the region tonight...
  17. FXWX
    Nice... yes... it was all about good rates and on the right side of the low / mid-level freezing line...
  18. FXWX
    Yep... I would not dismiss the evening and overnight periods' ability to produce some nice additional coverage... I'm 31/32 with pretty steady freezing rain...
  19. FXWX
    31 here... 3.9" before the flip to freezing rain.
  20. FXWX
    Sleetfest here now...
  21. FXWX
  22. FXWX
    I've got lots of town crews with road cover on one side of town and just rain on the other side of town. Let me know if you start seeing complete road coverage? You should get there soon. Here even the lower elevations (300') in what is called the Lake Garda area now have solid cover!
  23. FXWX
    Yes... It's still a shit show type of storm... probably still some surprises to come..
  24. FXWX
    Burlington, Ct
  25. FXWX
    It's low confidence for a variety of outcomes across most of CT... I'm just happy it's a Sunday event, which greatly lowers my forecasting stress levels...
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