WxWatcher007

Same

Anyway sorry for derailing mods. Been raining consistently here. Still sub 40 and at .53 on the day .60 total.

I agree in part. I think how we communicate wx definitely needs to continue evolving. A lot of people still think in a deterministic way rather than probabilistic. So if I’m a layperson and I read a NWS warning I’m going to (maybe) act on what’s in front of me. However, downplaying because of uncertainty or prior history is problematic too. You want people to take reasonable actions to protect themselves. It doesn’t need to be on the verge of disastrous to be bad. 80-90mph winds are an order of magnitude worse and would be catastrophic if widespread. But there would be a hesitation to say that. I don’t have an answer but I think it’s far more nuanced.

The devil’s always in the details though. Serious means different things to different people. If the NWS puts you in a HWW that says IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down numerous tree limbs, and scattered trees and power lines. Power outages are likely. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. What are you supposed to do when you’re responsible for the safety of your students and staff? Also, I don’t think the early dismissal days are pointless, but I’m not well versed enough to say what a half day looks like.

This is the definition of useless cold

1) Relative to the over 160 school districts in CT these are a handful 2) Some of these are in places with a high wind warning 3) They’re early dismissals, so it’s not like the kids aren’t in school for at least part of the day I usually don’t take a stance on this stuff, but I don’t get the pearl clutching on some districts trying to get kids home before a bad storm gets bad. Schools aren’t getting sued the way people here think they are.

Valley life lol 38.9° .54 storm total so far.

I won’t lie, a quick chase is tempting especially if we can continue raising the ceiling. Even Boston is toying with big gusts if the weenie 3k is close to accurate. I’m still a little skeptical of massive inland wind but each model suite is getting a little more buy in from me. Like Wiz said, 3k would be pretty big across the board.

Still quite a strong signal just off the deck

Eastern areas or back through CT? My guess right now is that Kev and points east are probably the highest risk zone.

It’s an annual tradition at this point…like the Grinch arriving around Dec 25…

I scream, you scream, we scream together?

You broke his heart lol

Dusting

Still have a decent layer of snow in the front yard and shaded part of the driveway down here in torch land. I guess I’ll take what I can get.

Do you hear what I hear?

Those were the days

I guess it’s better than them vaporizing in Alberta

I say it all the time—if we had a true normal temperature DJF, people would think it’s frigid.

30° here at noon.

Surface is torched down here verbatim, but it’s a somewhat chilly look just aloft. I’m thinking a stronger vort offshore would help?

I think there are only a couple of folks that are truly aiming to be villains. For the rest, I assume they’re having mini-melts or trying to be funny. Everyone has to realize that it takes a certain level of emotional investment just to be on a wx board. Nobody is spending time here to wistfully discuss 70s and sunshine. Winter is the pinnacle of the wx year for many, so when it’s bad it’s bad and when it happens year after year it compounds the pain. We can’t rant about troughs getting buried in Baja again to our spouses, most wouldn’t get it like the nuts here lol. I think I may have one person on the entire board blocked or whatever for crazy talk—but it also helps to stay away from anything that’s non wx. I don’t care about anyone’s take on politics or social issues here. I have enough of that everywhere else. As for Sunday, maybe a coating to inch? I still like the trend but it’s incremental. If we could get some CAD early next week that could be good for some wintry precip too. I think the next few weeks we just have to hope for well timed events. Not being a blowtorch through Canada helps narrow the odds but it’s obviously an uphill climb.

20-21 was the only good year imby relative to climo. If it’s going to be a bad stretch, have fun with it. The worst is trying to wade through delusional optimism and relentless negativity. Neither are necessary. Call it like you see it, enjoy the fellowship around here among other wx weenies, and be happy whenever something does break our way. Idk why people make that so hard.

The cold behind that front absolutely underperformed. Only dropped to 27. We’ll see how high I can go today.