WxWatcher007

He needs hope. Who among us hasn’t been there. In recent days.

We cautiously optimistic. Saturday might be festive looking too.

Yeah. Gotta hope for the IVT to rotate through New England for some festive coatings or so and hope the Christmas shortwave is legit.

When are we starting a thread for the Christmas potential lol

Yeah, I’d be tempted to sign on the dotted line right now.

I think that’s where most of us are at this point. Hope for enough moisture to get a solid coating for the next cold intrusion and hope the Christmas shortwave morphs into something decent.

“Tenor of the season”

What’s terrifying is that folks said last year couldn’t possibly be worse than the one before, and absent a miracle it would have been. I really do think it’s possible to go sub 10” here if this truly is a decade-long slide.

And the Euro has very light snow from the shortwave early Christmas morning for much of New England

Euro looked a touch better to me, but again, for this to be more meaningful for more of the region we probably need continued significant shifts.

My joking aside, yeah, there’s a signal for something in a very good antecedent airmass. I was speculating the other day that if we can’t get this weekend to produce, given how fast the flow is we could have a shot at another shortwave right around the holiday itself. Still a long shot in my mind but I like the trend of something tangible moving into the region. Honestly, we don’t need much. Any weak system that puts 2-3 down on the holiday for most would be excellent.

And a grinch here

And flurries back this way while an IVT drops 4-8 in NY and NJ

It’s mildly interesting. Need to continue seeing bigger shifts though for most to be in the game for real.

God love em but we need the r/s line about 50 miles west of them

I like anomalous wx. Don’t really care about the type. Snow is always preferred over cold and dry but a cold day of yore in a warming climate gets my respect too. Be careful what you commit to Milton got within a few mb

Obliterated up there

No apologies necessary. I think he’s remarking on how bad winter has been outside of Wolfie’s backyard Start planning for your 110th birthday lol

With drones showing up in SNE now and the Euro AI rising, they may be riding together by late January to get the blog published.

On a 60° day with only failure on the horizon it’s all we have.

It’s just an early thought from me. Above average certainly isn’t off the table. I probably won’t think about it much until early April. SST anomalies are still high across the MDR so if there isn’t a Nino or warm neutral ENSO we’ll more likely than not be staring at another active season.

Christmas Eve 2022 was frigid here. Had a high of 15. Only other day to do that since was Feb 4, 2023 with the Montreal Express cold. No other sub 20 high days.

The meltdowns would be as epic as the storm.

Haha we’re the same age. Maybe I get mowed down by some idiot driver or kicked into a hole by some random ailment at some terribly early age, but I think the investment I make now is worth it. I can do things today that I couldn’t do at 25, and I was pretty healthy then. As for exercise—I think the best way is to start slow and build consistency. You just want improvement. One step at a time can take you a long way eventually. Sorry to hear that, but you’re still here as @Prismshine Productions said. Let’s get an 1899 cold blast to bring some flakes to your backyard!

Yep—BECS are the highest echelon widespread impact storms. The atmosphere in God mode. Apply Mad Dog’s hall of fame rule. If you have to think about whether it belongs, it doesn’t.