DDweatherman
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Everything posted by DDweatherman
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Nah that was the 6z GFS, didn’t see the euro run.
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@psuhoffman are you jumping in the zoom tonight at all?
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Decided to get a cabin in McHenry for this one, headed out tomorrow. Should be great upslope after the WAA Monday with some high ratio fluff piling up and blizzard conditions. Kid is gonna lose her mind.
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Yeah I assumed places down there like Omni even are on the leeward side. They should do well in the storm itself, but not the upslope stuff.
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Which Ski resort areas do we think will do best in this storm? Looks like good upslope in Snowshoe/Wisp after the storm? Do Timberline/Canaan also tend to do well in these setups? Also was looking down into some of the VA resorts and PA (Seven Springs?) Any thoughts from the group.
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100%, the h5 passage going through spots like WV (RGEM) is almost never going to end well for us. The 0z gfs was ever so slightly south with the pass thru DC/NVA. If that gets down to EZF even, there would normally be improvements in the result at the surface.
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Funny that it shifted SE with the track like 100 miles from the previous run lol
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If we could have euro thermals and GFS thump, the area would be really happy.
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Let’s not forget Ty got an NSX for a birthday present from his wife. She doesn’t play any games. If she’s firing “one of the CEO’s”, she has to be on the board? He’ll survive one way or the other. If it doesn’t snow and we smoke cirrus even, take the whip for a spin. That makes missing out on snow naso bad if you ask me.
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I met the guy who runs BC before (trying to remember where I was). Nice guy though & good beers.
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@mappy where did you and Chris grab a beer? That’s a good happy hour model watching idea if I’ve ever heard one.
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My opinion of the gfs is it should be ever so slightly better than 12z for us, h5 and bit S/E along with the precip shield & the N/S phasing piece is in about the same location. Confluence in the NE is barely NE of 12z.
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Lets chalk it up to the NAM at range. ICON and then GFS. If they look like the NAM, not good.
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Yeah don't love what I see but lets hope it thumps!
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NAM out to 48, definitely north of 12z and the vort is more amped. Heights are still about the same though in the east.
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NAM a little faster/SE with the northern energy thru h21 on our 18z NAM h24 is much of the same, similar heights in the east with the departing low.
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Doesn’t mean the outcome is gonna be determined. What matters is the capture and trailing energy thru 78-84.
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The axis and orientation of h5 on GFS is the best since about 4-5 runs ago. South and pos tilted thru 66
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Agreed Steve, can you email me a link to tonight’s zoom?
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Yeah agreed, some BIG hits.
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Yea not a bad storm. Don't fuse it with 1/7/96. Good event for our locales though. Almost was like the 2/10/10 version follow up to 2/5-6.
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Second that part haha, I love the Middletown/Myersville area, but you really aren't that far from some "commerce" in Sabillasville area lol. Waynesboro has quite a bit and is <20 mins, HGR 25 mins. Also cheaper to live up outside in the border areas vs M/M
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Where can we pull Camp David nowadays (used to be RSP)? and Site R?
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We're at about 96 hours out from onset, somewhat more clarity today but the money zone is w of 15 to the 81 folks with MRB, OKV looking like the local jackpot zone. Anyone west of rt/97 looks solid for a 6" snowfall at this juncture I'd say from the thump.
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Yup, Sabillasville/Blue Ridge Summit/Cascade are all at like what, 1000 feet? And I can say living up here a few months, they get more than Waynesboro and some of the surrounding spots.
