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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. S/S energy is more the S/W and even when the N/S releases, it's tilted very positively. Hard to get anything to amplify in that scenario.
  2. Too bad the GFS is unfortunately heading in the opposite direction to these weenie eyes.
  3. Let me save you guys the time this run, the GFS won't look like the Euro this run. S/S energy held back more at 54 and N/S digging less.
  4. There might not even be a storm to discuss after the Euro runs (Ji hacked my keyboard)
  5. RGEM certainly isn't going to get it done this run. Much more positive tilt and less digging from the N/S piece of things.
  6. model*, at least of late haha. I'm still enjoying deep winter in Garret Co where it has been snowing more or less for 2 days. Seeing the GFS cave to the Euro while snow falls outside would be great.
  7. Yeah, I don't love the look of the ICON personally. More digging, but it would appear too late and too much pos tilt.
  8. The euro historically has done very well vs the GFS modeling SS s/w's. That is one of the reasons I think it has a potential to at least be partially correct. However, as many have mentioned, lead times are getting pretty short.
  9. It really is interesting over the years Steve that when the Euro has been on its own with a solution and the rest of the models don't have it, the trend is almost always for the Euro to trend to the others. This has especially been the case where it was bullish on snow (though thats probably when were paying the most attention).
  10. 2 runs going the other way with heights if we're being honest with ourselves. I don't know that the euros full phased MECS is the right idea with no support still at 3.5 day leads.
  11. I mean I certainly hope the Euro holds firm. The EPS/it’s members are in strong agreement here.
  12. Great move by the GFS. Now the question is do they meet in the middle or does the Euro hold at 0z with a flush hit like the last 2 runs.
  13. I’m not trying to discourage model analysis, but yours is incorrect way to often to give much credence to it. Obviously there’s more s/w energy held back from 18z…
  14. Sure was, the drifting was incredible. Even now, still have drifts everywhere over this way. Amazing conditions over here. One for the books.
  15. That the NAM is damn close and was a good improvement at end of run?
  16. Would agree, the field here made it impossible to see a few feet in front of us. Felt like I was in Watertown again.
  17. Earlier I heard things were awful when the bands were cranking. Whiteout conditions every few minutes.
  18. I actually might make trips out here more often if Carroll Valley isn’t going to get mashed. No doubt the mojo was here.
  19. Fozz, hows 219 looking? I’m over towards Glendale and Glade, and the roads just are not looking great right outside the development (which they kept up on with plowing). This was absolutely a classic storm for me out here, rivaled some of the fiercest conditions I’ve been in this morning.
  20. McHenry had 12” as of 6AM and it absolutely dumped from about 9am-1pm earlier. Would say 18-19” and snowing again.
  21. 18” or so as the current total near McHenry. Visibility is way up, still windy but snow has lightened up considerably. Was a blitz the last 6 hours for sure.
  22. I wish I would have an ATV to ride around and check out the conditions… that would make this trip up the best. That or a pair of goggles on me (need new ones)
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