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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. Be sure to update your address for us But yes, feel your pain
  2. I'm more in the Wwxluvr camp, it hasn't been that great of a winter out here to the NW... those who say we win a lot, suit yourselves but I want snow.
  3. NYC barely gets a good snow on the CMC on the 0z run. Only HFD east to BOS north gets a nice hit.
  4. Its about 200 miles east of last run... speaks for itself
  5. You really must be, it's not even close to what 12z was. I'd take a breather and get some sleep. Leave it for the rest of the folks here to do model runs, Yoda needs a call in from the bench. Ji is a pain in the ass but he's kinda right.
  6. Yeah its not even gonna be close for us, just keeping it real versus the "better, way better, quite a bit better" which has no quantitative meaning...especially when comparing to one of the worst runs we've seen of the past few days.
  7. It's still not even close to as good as 12z was if we're being honest.
  8. It doesn't mean much @WinterWxLuvr if its better than 18z, that was an atrocious run.
  9. 18z RGEM & GGEM (yes it runs at 18z) both have the energy held back quite a bit more than their prior runs and unfortunately took that step back from 12z
  10. Literally, the next suite of guidance…first piece to come in looks like crap lol
  11. Don't love the evolution and the reduced phasing/digging. Gives some credence to what the op just did. Not UKMET bad, but a step back. Expect we might see 2 camps.
  12. That's pretty easy to see earlier on in the run as well (hr 66-90).
  13. Yeah, now its almost too far west. Started too far east, now that energy as you mentioned is pumping it up causing the flat heights out in front as well.
  14. If we hadn't seen such positive trends to the point of the 18z GFS/GEFS, that run would be a disaster for sure, but the GFS is now the furtheast east
  15. Weaker phasing on the GEFS 18z thru 84, got a feeling some of the members are holding that energy back as well. Going to be an east outcome for this run.
  16. Can already see the 18z GEFS thru 72, step back for sure.
  17. 12z GEFS wasn't markedly better than 6z, so we will probably tell if the run we just saw has any merit if there's a reversal there.
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