You really must be, it's not even close to what 12z was. I'd take a breather and get some sleep. Leave it for the rest of the folks here to do model runs, Yoda needs a call in from the bench. Ji is a pain in the ass but he's kinda right.
Yeah its not even gonna be close for us, just keeping it real versus the "better, way better, quite a bit better" which has no quantitative meaning...especially when comparing to one of the worst runs we've seen of the past few days.
18z RGEM & GGEM (yes it runs at 18z) both have the energy held back quite a bit more than their prior runs and unfortunately took that step back from 12z
Don't love the evolution and the reduced phasing/digging. Gives some credence to what the op just did. Not UKMET bad, but a step back. Expect we might see 2 camps.
Yeah, now its almost too far west. Started too far east, now that energy as you mentioned is pumping it up causing the flat heights out in front as well.
Weaker phasing on the GEFS 18z thru 84, got a feeling some of the members are holding that energy back as well. Going to be an east outcome for this run.