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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. Great post and good commentary. The band moves generally NW over the burbs to Mt. PSU crew in the early AM hours and there is absolutely influence from the h5 jet. Starting to see more and more influence in the short term hi res models. I think places north of Baltimore from Westminster over to Bel Air could cash in big time since they'll get both parts of the storm.
  2. I’m dying right now, can’t help myself. The rain part was a giveaway.
  3. your model guidance analysis is not something we need at this point. 22 degrees and light snow returning
  4. Catch us about 4:33PM if you want an update. We're past GFS prime window, but happy to share the outcome it shows.
  5. Getting a little better id think? Admittedly, haven’t looked at the runs for today at all
  6. Ends for good? That doesn’t jive so much with some of our other guidance. Especially recent runs that have enhanced and back build in connection with the low moving NE
  7. @Bubbler86coming down nicely and ground getting covered quicker. It’s kinda snow/sleet mixing?
  8. Trying to figure out if I’ll get fringed or what. The back half of the event looks best from HGR to FDK and the border folks to the NW.
  9. That means when we get 15-20dbz later it’s gonna be coming down nicely
  10. I’m thinking DC could get 3-5” in this one. Nice comeback from the other day
  11. Didn’t even realize that. Yeah, those are robust. Can’t hurt to have them trending upward to gametime
  12. Steadier light snow starting to occur in Waynesboro
  13. I think we’re onto something here Randy. May need someone to start a Friday thread then run a 2nd thread
  14. I agree, and like @WinterWxLuvrsaid, the NW/Shen valley snow hole usually fills in close to game time. our NW zones have been trending upward the last few runs, and temps look solid. Decent snow growth and probably 12-14:1 ratios are in play
  15. The HRRR should figure it out by 15 or 18z today.
  16. Nam puts some moderate snow down for N/W crew between h30&36
  17. SW flow and these overrunning events as we know tend to have leading edge precip and it can over perform. That being said, DP’s dropped quite a bit and we’ll need to saturate.
  18. Can’t help but think a compromise of the euro and the gfs gives the NW crew 4-5” and our DC brethren win too
  19. yall can have 5 if I get my 3, happy. But ya know it could verify a bit NW
  20. I like seeing the ass hair more amped early and the axis of precip. need to beef up that back end now since the first batch is looking a fair bit wetter. Mesos will be our asset moving into tonight and the overnight
  21. Makes me wonder why we’d mention an ass hair or a CH if it’s noise
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