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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    It really wouldn't have mattered on that run, someone was going to get 2" of QPF. The upper levels were about to go nuts (i.e. 12z Euro). Under that zone, the rates would be insane
  2. DDweatherman
    its the NAM but yeah, the main show was coming. We pick up our big totals in the good ones with those h5 looks later on as the low gets to our lat and throws back a CCB.
  3. DDweatherman
    I'd say, DC was about to get 15-20" probably...
  4. DDweatherman
    For those that are wondering, h5 is about to close off and the precip blossomed w/nw at that hour. That would have been a big hit back to OKV and there would likely be a big time CCB/Trowal somewhere in association with the h5/h7/h85 lows. If they stack over a certain spot, look out.
  5. DDweatherman
    The real good frames on the NAM were coming after 84 when the h5 was closing off and we might have even seen it stack
  6. DDweatherman
    I can't emphasize this enough... if the GFS looks anything like the NAM, its a whole different ballgame around here. Zoom to ensue here shortly and the ICON to begin which will go over Bermuda I'm sure.
  7. DDweatherman
    A thing of BEAUTY
  8. DDweatherman
    NAM really might have resulted in HECS totals for a decent part of the subforum... thats not a weenie post exaggeration either.
  9. DDweatherman
    Jaws is warranted I'd agree thus far.
  10. DDweatherman
    Have the NAM thru 63... the music is playing in the background. Liking the phasing of the streams and less energy being hung back even vs 18z.
  11. DDweatherman
    Agreed, now that being said. Love the energy consolidating at 57 and the TV now a good bit NE allowing our heights out front to climb better.
  12. DDweatherman
    Liking where the TPV is and the angle of its influence, helps those NE heights over us. Could make for a nice trough axis if this phases cleanly/closes off
  13. DDweatherman
    Resounding yes for that.
  14. DDweatherman
    Thats my hunch thus far, the heights being pumped a bit out front is one of the biggest things I was "concerned" about overall and want to see improve next that could change the game for us. The TPV has a big affect on that aspect
  15. DDweatherman
    Heights out in front are important for trough axis later on. A good thing to check is the TPV up in Canada to see if thats lowering them at all. Looks good on this run so far
  16. DDweatherman
    Beautiful. Hope it can get broken in here real soon.
  17. DDweatherman
    If anything, slightly better than 18z thus far. N/S wave diving in a bit faster and the "tail" piece that on some runs is held back sw is dropping in slightly east.
  18. DDweatherman
    Let's wait and see, but I like where we stand, out to 39
  19. DDweatherman
    welcome good sir, just in time
  20. DDweatherman
    NAM pretty similar to 18z thru 33 which is good considering where 18z was at the end of its run.
  21. DDweatherman
    Nam with changes already thru 9 lol
  22. DDweatherman
    We'd like it more west, but give me those lows there with an h5 closing off over Asheville/Greensboro and I'm taking my chances for a decent event in a lot of spots.
  23. DDweatherman
  24. DDweatherman
    It would if we werent pos tilted. Still overall better than the GFS just not 12z euro levels
  25. DDweatherman
    I don't like the more positive tilt by the 18z euro/eps/control. Thats a direct result of a sloppier phase early on
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