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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    If anything, slightly better than 18z thus far. N/S wave diving in a bit faster and the "tail" piece that on some runs is held back sw is dropping in slightly east.
  2. DDweatherman
    Let's wait and see, but I like where we stand, out to 39
  3. DDweatherman
    welcome good sir, just in time
  4. DDweatherman
    NAM pretty similar to 18z thru 33 which is good considering where 18z was at the end of its run.
  5. DDweatherman
    Nam with changes already thru 9 lol
  6. DDweatherman
    We'd like it more west, but give me those lows there with an h5 closing off over Asheville/Greensboro and I'm taking my chances for a decent event in a lot of spots.
  7. DDweatherman
  8. DDweatherman
    It would if we werent pos tilted. Still overall better than the GFS just not 12z euro levels
  9. DDweatherman
    I don't like the more positive tilt by the 18z euro/eps/control. Thats a direct result of a sloppier phase early on
  10. DDweatherman
    EPS has a bit more tilt like the op did at 18z, but h5 does close off at h90 over ROA.
  11. DDweatherman
    I agree there. The second northern piece seems to provide respite for the Euro vs a different way the GFS has been getting to its final product (which has less of the second piece)
  12. DDweatherman
    Randy chomping at the bit for the NAM to get going...
  13. DDweatherman
    I gotta stop by @Scraffand see what hes got in the hatch
  14. DDweatherman
    I am gonna stop by Friday I think. May need to reschedule for Thursday depending on the forecast Friday afternoon haha, but we'll see
  15. DDweatherman
    Its the piece up north of superior, more potent on 18z than it was on 12z.
  16. DDweatherman
    Usually this is when we want it to look like last run but go out 6 more hours.... and then its over bermuda
  17. DDweatherman
    The reason it does the pull depends on the type of tail feature like he mentioned. We also as you've mentioned want the northern piece diving in to have as meridional (N/S) alignment as possible.
  18. DDweatherman
    Well said, the jaws meter is an important scale that we might need to create going forward. Anyone want to get over into photoshop?
  19. DDweatherman
    @WinterWxLuvrEarlier, when you mentioned this storm changing shape. One of the things i'm maybe starting to take notice wrt to the Euro and NAM even earlier was the evolution and what it could mean for areas further south. Some folks in the other forums speaking of the Euro at 18z closing off h5 earlier and further SW. This can cause that evolution where depending on track of low and tilt on the trough out latitude wins and further north doesn't do as well.
  20. DDweatherman
  21. DDweatherman
    This was also a great trend for our latitude, slower overall helped with this
  22. DDweatherman
    You definitely want the euro doing what it just did at 18z. A noise run is just what we needed. A hold from our best solution is great headed into the 0z suite.
  23. DDweatherman
    This one has some looks on the recent model runs that are just a few hours sooner on timing and minor changes to bring a big event to a lot more people than current runs are showing. The ingredients and recipe to win is getting clearer.
  24. DDweatherman
    I consider it a hold from the 18z euro which is nice because it shows a 2-4" for basically everyone and is one of the furthest west with the coastal. Holds out hope we could have jaws music at 0z.
  25. DDweatherman
    If it comes in quicker and or more potent, thats not bad in this case. We need stuff to help pump heights out in front. If we could alleviate a lot of the "tail" like the 18z NAM did, that would be helpful too.
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