Jump to content

DDweatherman

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,002

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    In some ways, it did. H5&h7 axis are a few miles north, which we’d want to see go the other way. But, the low is in a similar position as 12z and more amped sooner with a 987 on DE coast. If this storm was 6 hours slower with that same evolution, it would be 6”+ M/D like north. there was a formidable ccb on 18z. If we can get the gfs a bit south like some of the other models at that intensity, it’ll show a primo outcome for most
  2. DDweatherman
    The more I look at 18z, it seems more of a hold. Might be gfs stopping the bleed and about to head back south a bit
  3. DDweatherman
    I was thinking it was worse than 12z noticeably, but it’s really not. Gives us hope it goes back the other way tonight like the euro and others have been.
  4. DDweatherman
    On that frame it’s really carbon copy of 12z, snow line is actually a bit more south in parts of PA and the low is at 988. If we could get euro’s precip axis with that low strength we’d be in business.
  5. DDweatherman
    New data coming at 1030 tonight thank god
  6. DDweatherman
    Great news is the gfs will start going back south at 0z given the way things go with these threads. And euro and friends will continue to beef up
  7. DDweatherman
    Gfs stinks, icon has come south a good bit. Gfs and icon now northern end of guidance, with nam euro uk ggem them all south
  8. DDweatherman
    @peribonca with the post delete on positive gfs changes. Good news is gfs is actually on north end of guidance minus the icon. And those two models stink.
  9. DDweatherman
    As do I, would have been tasty I believe
  10. DDweatherman
    Well, saw it this way. If 12z euro sucked we woulda shut it down then started this before the rest. Now if 12z euro still sucks, we just make the comeback here. If we overcome this mountain even in the slightest, this might be the go to method.
  11. DDweatherman
    Speaking of the UK, fresh off the press
  12. DDweatherman
    UK low is 993 right off OCMD, you'd think that wouldn't be so bad...
  13. DDweatherman
  14. DDweatherman
    12 z UKMET
  15. DDweatherman
    uh @WinterWxLuvr, here's the 12z GEFS mean.
  16. DDweatherman
    You know what @SnowenOutThere, you're damn right. We're doing it. The EURO of all models is going to keep moving our way at 12z and the EPS will follow. Anyone have the UK yet?
  17. DDweatherman
    It won't
  18. DDweatherman
    This has me absolutely dying man, it shouldn't but it does
  19. DDweatherman
    And so it begins...
  20. DDweatherman
    We done dit in now folks, @WinterWxLuvr we're carrying your spirit from the first thread
  21. DDweatherman
    Hello we're talking about the thread in the threat we're working in right now for 90 hours out...
  22. DDweatherman
    If I get authorization from the group, I say we try. Good practice for the threats post 2/20 and our PSU storm.
  23. DDweatherman
    Not surprised given the RGEM at 12z late in its run. Can we close and reopen just to end our 100% win rate?
  24. DDweatherman
    Crazy how close that was from being better, has a lot to do with that tpv lobe and northern influence popping in
  25. DDweatherman
    Will 12z cause a thread closure? Will one reopen? Will that bring us to the promise land? Stay tuned
×
×
  • Create New...