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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    ICON was a good bit colder in some spots Friday morning on 12z vs 6z... for example 24 degrees cooler in York at 12z Friday morning
  2. DDweatherman
    If the ARW is right, theres gonna be some problems I'd say
  3. DDweatherman
    Just spike the ball like you did in the other thread before 18z and we’ll get a big improvement
  4. DDweatherman
    You know the ole Nogaps/navgem progressive rule...
  5. DDweatherman
    I liked it, closest we've seen on something other than the GFS that would give us at least a chance. 18z control have anything?
  6. DDweatherman
    You don't have to make yourself susceptible to being wrong just because you're not in a place to do pbp. These people here can go look them damn selves lol.
  7. DDweatherman
    But some people are going to be expecting forecasts around ice potential a bit more than 12 hours in advance of the onset...
  8. DDweatherman
    Guess the NAM is teeing up the 18z GFS meltdown like we had last week that one run pre coastal scrape.
  9. DDweatherman
    It will probably meet the euro in the middle for a compromise? Maybe a 60% GFS/40% euro compromise lol
  10. DDweatherman
    Yeah it makes good progress early on then decides to take the low to Garret county and halt the progression. Not a lot of other models doing that. Pull out weenie rule book to say earlier hours are more important on the NAM.
  11. DDweatherman
    I'm liking the positioning of the high and the feed of cold air in at h60. Heights were lower out in front of the main slug here in our region.
  12. DDweatherman
    hr 30
  13. DDweatherman
    agreed. I do notice the slightest bit more tilt N to S on the axis, which could lead to less draping of the front.
  14. DDweatherman
    I just looked over us at one frame stopped after that lol
  15. DDweatherman
    I don't really care who is right between you and him, I just want to know about the run. I'm trying to play poker atm
  16. DDweatherman
    Where is the most important part? Can you make a box?
  17. DDweatherman
    Yeah heights are lower in the east thru h42
  18. DDweatherman
    18z GEFS looks a bit colder on the mean vs 12z, bit lower heights indicating good cold press from up north. (Just looking at the basic TT maps since I'm mobile). Can someone get us more.
  19. DDweatherman
    Got time to go to Michigan or Indiana?
  20. DDweatherman
    We know the Euro won't look like the GFS, but we do need it to start looking more like it and making some moves with the front.
  21. DDweatherman
    2003, really?
  22. DDweatherman
    Agreed, leave it to the GFS to whiff on one that shows a positive trend and wintry outcome. No doubts
  23. DDweatherman
    Good, bring it to papa.
  24. DDweatherman
    This is what to look at instead, 24 hour acc precip from hr 90 to 114 (NW zones go below freezing after hour 87 or so, by 90 its across the ICC-w of fall line crew.
  25. DDweatherman
    Whereas the 12z CMC is a step back if you want winter wx and a better aligned front with this one.
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