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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    The Euro showed ways we could win even west of the cities if the overall progression is onto something (especially at the upper levels). BUT, it's gonna need some support from the upcoming suites, first from its own EPS here shortly.
  2. DDweatherman
    Arguably could be a top snowstorm considering some of the output without either of those being still pretty crazy.
  3. DDweatherman
    Euro caveats (and the fact that its sorta an outlier in some respects), the diving in of that N/S to align with the S/S and closing off h5 over the research triangle is usually good for us...more like Greensboro
  4. DDweatherman
    It would be great for the Euro to get some more support and westerly trends.
  5. DDweatherman
    Juno nightmares for the NYC crew Steve... lol
  6. DDweatherman
    Agreed considering where the low is. But then again, looking at h5, I'm not sure I buy the low there either? This part is probably true.
  7. DDweatherman
    Look at this, best we've seen yet. Great aligning after h72 with the N & S pieces helped tilt the axis. H5 closing off over NC certainly helped too.
  8. DDweatherman
    Call me crazy, but if the Euro would have just kept the S/S energy in the exact place as 0z/6z, with as favorable as it dove in the northern piece, we would have gotten 6"+ even back in our areas.
  9. DDweatherman
    This shows what helped save us in the later frames, look north
  10. DDweatherman
    It was broader/a bit west with that energy through about 72hrs, but then the northern piece drops basically due S and gets nudged in by the TPV to give us a pretty clean phase/allows the low to get going sooner.
  11. DDweatherman
    If the southern energy in the southwest would have just looked the same as 0z or 6z, with the improvement in the angle of the northern piece dropping in and being stronger (aided by the TPV pushing in), this could have been a great run.
  12. DDweatherman
    It ended up being real damn close once h5 closed off, delayed more with the way the energy phased in (was a little more held back than 0z), but then the h5 rounded the base/closed off because the n/s was stronger and drove in to phase more north/south to tilt our axis.
  13. DDweatherman
    closed h5 that happens down in NC needs to happen sooner really, that wouldn't hurt us.
  14. DDweatherman
    Just need that a few hours sooner, and to be sharper. Phase was pretty clean overall.
  15. DDweatherman
    Its just not that hard to see the trends when youve looked at the last 24 suites of runs for the storm to know where its going relatively early on. I have nothing to lose but it was obvious this wouldn't be to the level of 6z by about hour 66.
  16. DDweatherman
    Its not like its a disaster run or anything, just saying we won't see improvements from the already best solution. Probably similar to 0z or slightly less.
  17. DDweatherman
    The only way that would be good is if it helps tilt, but I'll digress and leave it for everyone else. Hope to be wrong.
  18. DDweatherman
    I personally don't think its going to turn out too well for us, but thats my thoughts. Randy can confirm.
  19. DDweatherman
    Don't think the energy is a bit west from 0z?
  20. DDweatherman
    All good so far through 36 it would appear, though the next frames are where changes have diverged the most across the different models.
  21. DDweatherman
    No change from the euro is fine for a lot of people in this sub if you ask them.
  22. DDweatherman
    May the farce be with ya Andrew Jackson
  23. DDweatherman
    Goodspeed everyone, @stormtracker I hope you're around for the Euro PBP. Even tho the euro might be on an island, a hold from 0z/6z would be glorious.
  24. DDweatherman
    I guess the one thing that could be helpful is the bombing of the low which a lot of those don't have as much of.
  25. DDweatherman
    Waiting for the Euro Chris, not much else to do. Want to see if it folds like a lawn chair or keeps the momentum going.
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