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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. 3km Nam improvements over 18z & 0z are quite substantial. A good bit south with the qpf swath (similar to what the hrrr did)
  2. Late night report, 3km shifts the precip about 100 miles of 18&0z. Gets substantially more precip into the DC N crew, especially the northern burbs. HRRR also shifted south similarly, though not quite as much yet. followed up a pretty damn robust 0z euro run
  3. I don’t think that’s inaccurate, the pass hasn’t trended against us at 0z if we’re looking for something in the positive column. We’re still alive and on the playing field for tomorrow. Just gotta root for a euro hold overnight and at 6z
  4. Also pretty drastic from what the same model showed 6 hours ago. Not even the same evolution really with regards to the coastal and trough
  5. Let’s not take it verbatim, first run that’s looked like that. Could be something getting kicked off. It’s also the name so let’s see what else is out there on the Jv models.
  6. It certainly didn’t go further in the wrong direction. The thread is continuing to have its influence.
  7. The interaction of energies coupled with a sharper trough leading in made that one awfully close. And I mean close to something interesting. I’m mobile but I know the smart folks will elaborate.
  8. Nam should be out to the important frames by about the time the euro starts running.
  9. In the words of the weenie Mets, ignore ground truth and just watch h5 for now. Jokes aside, decent pass but surface sucks. So does the HRRRRRRR tho
  10. Now listen, I don’t want any questions as to how we resurrected Fridays snow come later tonight when the models start trending back in our favor..
  11. I’d call the 18z euro a hold at worst, we’d lock that up right now if we could. Good thing 0z is going to continue the run good…
  12. Wrong, I called them and asked for a special date ingest on our account. Don’t be surprised if it’s an improvement.
  13. QPF is pretty light on the GFS, 1-3" across the area. However, and I would say this is mildly important...the S/W at h5 passed slightly south-er of the 12z run. And I'm 100% sure of that lol, no takebacks.
  14. Icon isn’t too bad. Prediction is we hit rock bottom with the 18z gfs, but then the trend north stops and 0z moistens a bit.
  15. It’s definitely not that lol. We just have to make up an excuse at this point. Getting a n/s wave to not put the nail in the coffin tonight is miracle work.
  16. @StormyClearweather maybe if this storm comes back, @stormtrackerwill consider sharing his snap with you? trying to barter with the snow gods as we speak.
  17. Let’s just use this storm to pretend we’re angry at PSU, if I recall correctly 1/26/11 was the PSUhoffman storm back in the day? We can make this the f*** PSU storm? Then we can do PSU2 in February?
  18. His analogs are accurate too, it just doesn’t happen for us with these types of systems. You have to use your buffer, we probably peaked on this 24 hours early.
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