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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. Pretty much the worst possible track for Beira, a city of 500k.
  2. Right, I had those numbers flipped. It was an auto-generated screen name generated by Runescape from a long time ago, I used it for a lot of accounts. I moved to NC this fall. I had been going to school in Newport News and I lived in Chantilly 3 years ago. I nearly didn't enter this year because I no longer lived in the region, but someone tagged me, since I won last year.
  3. Also Stormpc would overtake me with any amount at DCA
  4. It seems historically I am more likely than not to hold on for the win, but my margin for error is narrow. Odds of at least .1" of snow in the second half of March/April (past 30 years): DCA (April): 23% (6.6%) IAD: 51% (13%) BWI: 43% (10%) RIC: 23% (10%) Odds of at least 1" of snowfall DCA: 13% IAD: 40% BWI: 20% RIC: 10%
  5. Really strange how tightly clustered the ensembles are. Kinda makes me suspicious.
  6. A week out trends are mostly meaningless, although for the next 3ish days I'd like to keep it South. We just might beat Boston this winter.
  7. The hires nam legit drops 6" of snow in an hour with this band. I don't think I've ever seen that even modeled.
  8. It generally has a cold bias, but the ICON looks nice. I'm not counting on that first push of moisture though.
  9. According to somone on Reddit, this is 4" short of the daily record
  10. I kinda doubt it, with how warm and sunny it was today.
  11. I'm not too enthusiastic, seeing as we really have to thread the needle to make this work. I suppose that's usually the case in the South though.
  12. Greensboro: 13 (1966) Asheboro: 17 (1994) RDU:17 (1985) Fayetville: 17 (1889) (Curiously, in February)
  13. I don't understand how that can be snow, with that sounding, that's like, the opposite of saturated.
  14. 24 hours, 47" max over Dulles. Has to be one of the craziest fantasy maps I've seen for DC.
  15. We can't even do warm days right, with the real warmth arriving after sunset. Gusty winds though to blow in the new year. I'll be driving back to NC tomorrow where snow chances are even more bleak, but no complaints given the foot we received a few weeks back.
  16. At this point it would be nice just to be in puppy neck snapping range.
  17. Tonight's 0z GSO sounding. Very dry.
  18. One NAM run to rule them all, One NAM run to find them, One NAM run to bring them all, and in the darkness bind them
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