Typhoon Tip

Maker's Mark ... ? - or something more top-o like Cognac this time -

Highly unusual synopsis evolving thru Sat... not often you barely close a 582 isohypses and that's enough to drill a chilly east wind to Albany... Also ... giant difference between comparatively tall heights and low thickness. Don't typically see 25 DAM differentials between those two metrics. And it's local just to S and C NE. warmer in eastern Ontario. A typology more akin to April seeing cold seclusion like that. East wind driving into 582 heights. Huh

The busts of the 1980s were uniquely bad man.... Those bust types you describe ...they don't hold a candle to pithy cryo dystopian illustrations that end up flat out partly sunny - We're talking about diametric purity... If we wanna get down to it,....every storm, even the over-producing ones in the general scope have someone somewhere that got nobbed - Even storms that for the most part righteously qualify as regional busts .... someone somewhere, did perhaps salvageable... Nope - bend over ... death BY Koabunga .. no questions asked... no exceptions conferred .... zero room for spin - discussion.... over

Yup ...add that to the list... I remember that one clearly ... 1989 ... Not sure what was up with that era and the technology. I mean, obviously ... Walter Drag and gang were not actually twiddling their mustaches scheming up ways to send doe-eyed young minds to therapy ... But, the models must've just routinely over set up scenarios? I met him on a couple occasions... One such time was back in 2005 at the SNE Storm Conference down in Brookline... By then, the scars had long since heeled and plus, I had been through under grad by then and had developed my own appreciation for how difficult deterministic weather forecasting is in this market/climate ...etc..etc... The guy earned a pass - ...Still, I didn't think to ask. I'd love to have a conversation with him and learn what it was like for them to set up civility for some of those debacles... That's an excellent way to look at the 1990s - btw... I like that turn of phrasing there... The 'prophecies' substantiated by the glut of the 2000 ( paraphrasing of course...)... and how 1992 really was a watershed season...

It's all relative of course... The decade was going badly ...then, there were glimmer of hopes in 1986 with a Novie event ( I think 1987 had one two... ), but the season didn't do much afterwards... Back to shit fests... But overall, 1987 wasn't terrible... There was a surprise event that rung up 6-10" in metro west ...supposed to be a glopper... But cold air was entrenched and way under estimated by man and models... When teeny flakes broke out and the visibility dropped to 1/4 mile it was pretty clear the forecast was in trouble... I really only remember a handful of ordeals that whole decade, purely because it was just banal, uninspired boring winters - it was really about the great nothing happening decade. And what I do remember .. disappointments out-numbered the production. There were a couple of bomogenesis events in those suggestive season years ... 1987 I think. They made the decade inimitably worse. How could a bomb make the decade worse? Well, they were supposed to redux '78 but ended up only clipping the Cape, while not much farther NW of the Canal managed dim orb sun through virga exploded cirrus. These storms were egregiously advertised... saturated air-waves criss-crossing electromagnetic death threats. I mean people were getting scared for what snow could do to cut off their heads... We were collectively under full-bird blizzard warnings clear to Fitchburg, MA and the western hills of Worcester. If you were old enough to be more into the TWC ( the only portal to the larger weather community available to the turbo dork with stolen lunch money in that era - this was pre web by a goodly margin mind you .. ), you had just enough cognition and knowledge to really feel the rub-in the NWS conspired to commit ... I mean, one of those storm there was a 4th period blizzard watch posted with dire ticker warnings scrolling on about cryospheric dystopian grid failure in hurricane wind pushed choke snow clear to almost SE Vt ... partly sunny ... Oh, but having to walk numb-faced to school ( after all ) .... in -9 F in 30 mph wind with blistering lips made it all totally worth it! Anyone sentient of matters since ... circa 1992 ...really has no idea what "bust" truly means on a spiritual level... It's like that scene on the roof in Shawshank...when Biren Hadley was languishing on about having to pay taxes on 30 thousand dollars in front of butt raped roofing-tar glazed immates ...and Morgan Freeman's character, "Red," says, " Oh. Poor Hadely - ain't he got it rough" That's 'bout how I feel for anyone since 1992 that never went through, or is aware, of the former years, that has the temerity to feel 'disappointed' .. about anything. Like shut the f up man. The era wasn't just about low results - it was about the dark art of specifically designed busts.. The decade was about "rubbing it in" - the greatest plausible set ups relative to perceivable reality ... There's also another thing about that era... in a lot of ways, it was made horrifically worse by the fact that weather-related graphics and delivery were becoming central entertainment in News delivery - ... I'm not really old enough to remember this, but I have seen old recordings of on-camera Mets actually using Sharpies to draw features on flip boards ... But look out! Here comes the age of graphics to turn it into the real lube-you-up cinema... I guess what I'm saying is that "ignorance is bliss" ? so to speak... I mean, if one was younger, they may have wanted snow and merely didn't see it as much.. And that sucked, ...but I don't think that would be as bad as this other journey.

Ooh.. I'm keeping this dude - too bad we don't have them like .... Dec 3 ...and Jan 20 and Feb 18 and so forth ... but not lookin' a gift horse in the mouth. nice bro

I've heard of the Vitamin D connection too ... Doesn't seem to correlate too well for me personally ...but, these Migraines seem to come in a variety pack - Kevin and I appear to have something similar... but Cut' was discussing something a while ago that either is a bit different, or his/her ability to describe it lended to a different impression... But, that's moot - we know that people can have auditory auras... touch, taste, olfactory ... General sensory auras are not even a prerequisite for migraine... some people have to get them diagnosed as non-aura migraines... My point being, with so many different expressions of that condition... there are equally as many varying apparent triggers. Some folks it's light... Some folks its hormonal ( woman and menstruation ) ...hormones even in elderly dudes too.. Some it's dietary - I seem to fall more into that group. Regardless of time of year... I can keep my frequency down with diet... But it's no cure... just down. Something with me... if I purify my diet for an extended period... say a month's worth, I seem to be more prone/susceptible ... Such that one measly slip-up ...like sausage broth in a f'n cup of soup I had no idea and - pun intended - I'm blind-sided with a kaleidoscope session. I have a buddy that suffers these things... we call 'em just that, "kaleidoscoping" ... sittin' at work...bzzzt. Look down at the phone, buddy's name with the quoted string, "kaleidoscoping" It's like a two man support group. f suck ...

oh ..right okay

" D 3" ??

"Cherish these last two seasons" ?? heh... kidding, right? Cherish the last 18 years... Also, ...meh... cocaine + NFL ... not sure that's as damnable as it is just exposed -

The correlation is actually specified as being those who begin experiencing aura -type Migraines later in life... They were clear in the studies ( I think the last I read was over at National Library of Medicine) that there was no significant correlation between strokes and those who were life long suffers - to which that sounds like you fit into this category.

Jesus Will... I've been looking for snow events by dates for years... You saunter on in with a graph!? wtf haahahah

Yeah ...mine were always distinctively phased ... always the same - aura: pain: ...mike tyson boxing match fugue for 12 hours after pain subsides. without exception... Until these recent ones. I didn't go into it because that was already getting too long for people's preferences in here... ( understood ) but for the first time in my life, the pain phase has been more manageable ...and by that, I mean tolerable. In fact, I have been able to continue with whatever I was doing ..with just a "time out" interruption while I waited on the aura to cycle through. The pain that came on the heel of the aura clearing up was minor... Just dullard ache, ...perhaps lower-moderate intensity in a wave that lasted 30 seconds, followed by extended moments where I even forgot I was Migraine... I never thought that was possible. That had never happened like that before... That is another reason why I wonder if these recent ones were more having to do with life style change. Like its partially triggering a Migraine but the complete physiological aspects are not taking place.

That's a little strange to be greeted with that information ... out of nowhere, this morning, that so many in this specific pass-time ( interesting) suffer migraines? I'm having a bit of a "Devil's Tower Closer Encounters" moment here. You know ... I'm in and out of unrelated spheres of friends and acquaintances through life and times. Along that journey, and exposure to others, I find it interesting that I only know of one other soul that agonizes with these maddening Migraines. Yet .. out of nowhere ... five of them, here. I have stood there and listened to others complain about a headache they once had ... how bad of a "migraine" it must've been. Usually ...when they are commiserating my own suffering, as though they "know what I mean". Unfortunately, they don't. ..because upon some simple questions that all true 'grainers know to ask, ...these were not migraines they experienced.. I mean headaches come in vastly different form and magnitudes, for a variety of different reasons.. Injury, life-style, stress, lack of sleep... underlying illnesses.. I have had headaches for these other reasons...too, though rare. I'll tell ya -I've had a couple of hang-overs that would stop a third-world government... But Migraines? They are unique. Perhaps there is a link with weather and climate and mood. It's not that big of a stretch ... For those of us who have sought to understand, researched and/or availed of the greater ambit of medicine know ... Neuroscience is replete with research into mood/behaviors as triggers. Well, if we're being honest... weather and climate does affect us ( not just in here, but all of Humanity) in that way. It may not be such a coincidence that the crucible of time has sort of brought us together, then. Or, it's just numbers and probability. As a rough guess... 300 people in the above context of life-spheres... okay, but this site obviously is exposed to the world... A slightly larger number, huh. That may simply parlay. Still.. I can't help but wonder, based in no small part on my 40 years with these f'n things ...if there isn't a cooperative trigger so to speak... where one may set up the other ...then if other happens, one finds them self over a threshold and... WHAM. So my first Migraine occurred when I was 10 years old. 10! You tend to remember what you were doing, where and when, the first time you realize god has chosen you for Migraine uniqueness. It was 7 AM, and Jane Pauli was co-hosting "The Today Show" along side Tom Brokaw, on a small television mounted mid way up the wall in my grandmother's kitchen. As they murmured away in the back drop, there was still blackness pouring through the window set over the sink. Michigan...being western end of this time zone, the late autumn sun rises an hour later than we're used to here on the East Coast. Anyway, in that moment, I looked up toward the small television and my first in countless aura experiences was just in the initial onset stage. Half of Jane Pauli's face had vanished... Blink blink blink. Whatever was in my eye, was still there... I tried closing. I tried rubbing. Nothing... and it grew worse over the ensuing minutes.. Imagine being 10 years old, and encountering that symptom.. Umm.. I had heard of this blindness thing... Soon the affect morphed from a small blind patch into an arc of what for me ... reminds me of when you are watching cable television and the signal gets disrupted ...? The image "checkers" or distorts in a schism of the frame... But with 'graines it also tends to pulsate or wobble. The arc grows in length, and it moves from the central region of your visual plain...toward the periphery... And you really pretty much cannot resolve imagery within that arc as it travels slowly across. The total migratory pathway appears to range between 20 and 35 minutes for me, and this is also consistent with known symptomatic spectrum. I vividly recall this, and as the middle part of the vision came back and the arc was disappearing ... this was followed by something that I would describe as that seen in "Red Dragon" ...where Hannibal Lector removed the top of Ray Liotta's skull, while Ray was still awake, and began melon balling gray matter ... a cinema the writers undoubtedly borrowed from "Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom" monkey brains scene. (except they say that actual brain doesn't have any pain receptors ... you get my meaning). ... So ... the tsunamis of pain. It lasts 4 to 6 hours... for me. I have read that others can be inundated with pain for 72 hours... I gotta wonder if it is that bad, however, and not just a slower extinguishing rate - which they have my sympathies. I don't actually believe it is possible to suffer that degree of cephalic horror for that much contiguous time, though. Because, ...in a microcosm ( which appears to be my form of them...) the height/max of the discomfort is in that first 1/3rd of that 6-hr range... About 2-hours of wondering if your skull is actually just going to detonate like that scene in "Scanners" ( hugely underrated dystopian sci-fi romp from the early 1980s..) And yeah..there are other symptoms.. Along with this, ...failed description for entirely justifying hatred of god... nausea crashes the rager.. And at times a 'tingling' sensation in the fingers... I have not suffered the olfactory affects as others, however, I do have the sensitivity to sound. Even conversation volume in the next room seems like a cacophony ... which, it's really impossible to find that kind of quiet solitude during the Migraine cycle/post visual aura phase ...so, that's usually wrapping a pillow around the head and moaning much of the way ... Advil.. joke. Migraine is not deterred. I must echo the sentiments of y'all - I would not wish these on anyone, not as a moral human being. There was a two week period in the midst of my teen-age years when I experience a fresh new Mind-grenade ... once per two days. Different times of the day.. Waking up with aura... Struck with it mid day... While watching T.V. at night... That was a the apex era... Over the years, the frequency dropped... By the time I was 34 years old...I had one, but hadn't had one in the 8 years prior. I began having them again recently... up to 20 of them over this last year alone... two of which happened within a day of one another. This alarmed me because in the last ten years ... science is suggesting an indirect link between migraine and stroke - though they are not sure what the link is as those two phenomenon do not appear to be the same underlying physiological thing. Here I am now middle aged and Luke Perry...John Singleton... both also middle aged examples? Dead. Dropped by major storke, and I'm now suddenly saddled with Migraine recurrence I had thought I had "out grown". So... I began looking more into the dietary aspects ... and made some changes experimentally, based upon the Tyramine amino-acid/processed foods connection, which is all over the literature nowadays.. Low and behold... I am early in the experiment but abruptly, I have not had one in a month and half... Just from tweaking my diet? We'll see... But basically, I took the average of multiple reputable source work's guidelines and came up with a dietary plan that does not sans too much fun, but does compromise in favor of that plan... Seems to be tentatively working. The other aspect... I lost 35 pounds since March. I work out every day... without exception - I know I know... not everyone can bio-mechanically do that... But, as luck would have it... I can run 4 or 5 miles one day ... do the gym eliptical machine the next, then...take my road bike out and do 25 miles on the third day ... and that rotation allows me to do something every day. It's possible that this life style "reduced" a tolerance I had built up over the years... sort of re-exposing an underlying condition/intolerance to tyramines. These are amino acids that occur in aged cheeses... sausage and process meats ...and some vegetables. Find out what those are... in your diet, and if they are there, and you suffer Migraines... don't f'n argue with this - cut that shit out. And, get your ass in shape. One way or the other. Eat portioned controlled, organic sources of all food for that matter... Most of your carbs come from complex sources, and your meats are fresh - like ... gobble gobble to gravy is better.. But obviously not everyone can find farm-to-table sources...so stay away from any meat in a box or plastic wrap. That's a good start... I have since learned, however, that the stroke - migraine connection appears to be for people that did not previous experience Migraines ...i,e., new, and that those who were life time sufferers were not part of that statistical group.

not lookin' for credit but ..heh...some of us did offer sarcasm that the CT early stuff f'ed up the rest of this thing going forward for area N ...hours and hours ago - it's frustratin' is all

Three super cells along the same axis today ... in New England... think about that... cyclic SC's ...

I know ... ( hahaha ) ... Oh man - can't wait to make Kevin read that back to us - Steve for that matter.

I'm curious if the ensemble push for an elevating NAM might help in preventing a nadir quite as deep as 2012 ... We're still likely doing a bottom 3 ranking ( or so...) either way, but if the oscillation/mode relaxes toward neutral we could be on the verge of a slowing in the melt rates. + annular modes are actually inversely temperature distributive to middle latitudes and tends to favor land-based cryo ... in addition to cooling the polar vortex domain space. But not sure about sea ice though. Particularly this early in the in the boreal autumn ...and also considering the melt- inertia, which is also a factor.

well, ... "meso anal" would be pretty alarming.. kidding... not sure - haven't looked but I'm an old man and this isn't my first rodeo

... might have to be mechanically driven ... it's harder to generate the good goop after 4pm this late in the solar calendar - we'll see ...

gate's not impressive on that per Box velocity - but.. we'll see

stuff in CT ruins it for everyone ... and it stays primarily elevated, too, so everyone gets nothing because they were so greedy they couldn't wait for the scenario to properly set up - nice goin' Kevin!

We could probably figure out which was of greater importance to that season via relative standard deviation - ... I mean it may not help... If a PNA is west or east biased, or the EPO...that would skew any conclusions perhaps .. But just in general.. if the PNA was +2 the whole way and the EPO was -4 the whole way, ...the EPO may win that assumption. Oy...actually that doesn't work either... Because the EPO is a small domain space comparatively...so, you'd have to do some sort of weighting analysis and f -that...

Increases in WV associated with GW contributes to more proficient precipitation, which should be acceptable via understanding Clausius Clapeyron equation ... Indeed, climate reports indicate 4 to 5% increases since 1901 ... However, looking at the graphical distribution ... the statistics are rather noisy (below)... I find it interesting ...the Autumn cuts up the lion's share of that increase ...where by eye-ballin' alone ...clearly the winters are surprising less. I mean just look at CT ... they are in a snow deficit compared to the rest of New England outside of Maine. There is pretty obvious less than ubiquitous distribution with regional variations, as well, seasonal differences involved in that mean U.S. total increase (keeping in mind, precipitation in this context pertains to both rain and snow). That sort of distribution pallet is more consistent with less skill than deterministic. I mean, just locally ... look at the difference between CT and MA. in that winter graphic. Plus...that Fall - Winter relay that is a monster differential there, and since Novie is an autumn month, and Dec is winter. is there any flop over there... Creates more questions than answers. The other aspect that muddles this, because of 'Clapeyron relationship. the same system 50 years ago does not as proficiently precipitate - that skews the model of the big ticket vs smaller aggregates.. in fact, it starts leaning the argumentative difference to moot if any trigger at all starts dumping bigger rain and/or snow bombs because of the saturation effect. To the point where we 990 mb low historic events with increased frequency, but the governing kinematics are not overtly impressive. When we look at this climate graph We may see an upward trend in big ticket events ... We may not be technically wrong... but, in reality what we are seeing may be an upward trend in precipitation period, because all events under the hood are being super-charged.