Typhoon Tip

You know it's funny ... getting this particular model to see any kind of TC initiation and subsequent maintenance thereafter takes a cyborg futuristic neural implant directly into the ocular brain cortex - yet, there it is. Meanwhile, no other guidance that typically self-finishes and sprays orgasmic TCs all over the map doesn't put out diddly squat out in that time.

Not to foment the 'anti-response crowd' ( lol - ) But I partially agree. I said the following months and months and months back to the beginning of this mess, that it is an experiment, really. It's really about a sociotechnological evolution we are in, where it is possible to even try? - unprecedented in that sense, actually. The last time the entire world and all sovereignties agreed upon a course of action, at this recent scale, was WWII. But what we are trying to do here is defeat a biology on this planet that has been around for 3 BILLION years. Whether this virus was doctored by human's as a bio-weapon and is being suppressed as a truth or not, viruses behave the same way. 3 billion years, a time span in which no other countermanding force has been capable of stopping them. Using what? distancing and washing hands? Oh, try - sure. By all means. In fact, the experiment is part of the evolutionary process and has to happen - I don't think, however, that means we can also look back in 20/20 and say we should have known better - experiments are always an iterative process. The other aspect is, ...we cannot prove how many people's lives were improved, or even saved, if we did nothing at all - it's arguing against NULL space in that sense; the null space has no data to serve as proof/advocate. Simply put, we don't know what we did to 'save the crisis' because we don't have that data to look at - just an assumption that it did something.

The circulation engine of the hemisphere is changing - you speak as though we are still in 1862's planetary initial conditioning? No - - and those may be a thing of that past. The mechanisms that cause those bigger events, and even the smaller maintenance ones, are getting buried in the perennial expansion of the Hadley Cell. - restorative hydration events become increasingly less frequent/ reposition closer to over 40N in latitude.

Apparently the 'Industrial Media Complex' never got that memo -

Oh yeah, vaccine. I had the two dose deal - Moderna. I did not feel or sense any reaction to either dose, zippo. Moderna, as internet water-cooler wisdom would warn, is the worst offender for making the patient feel as though curing the disease is actually killing the patient. I know that people are getting reactions to these vaccines - my sister did. She was couched for 3 days with fever and headache - "they f'n gave me COVID, that's what!" But I'm just here to say that either A, this is not going to be true for all individuals - you may not respond. Versus, B, the off chance that the vaccine failed to work in my particular physiology -- never heard of that, but nothing in a reality that is 100% a synergistic emergence of Quantum Uncertainty Principle can ever be in 100% certainty. How's that for a whopper paradox. Excluding the possibility that I am the 1::googleplex target for cosmic dildo flogging, I'm going to go ahead and assume I am just lucky that my particular make-up was able to absorb, respond appropriately, and end-goal my immunity to these predominating strains of C-19 pathogen, without having endure any headaches for the course.

"Book end" low climo is a June deal. Yeah - This looks pretty classic for that. Front arrives and lays out W-E from the TV to Bermuda, and as it frontalysizes ( decays ) the air on both sides homogenizes into a barotropic sounding, and with W wind under E wind persisting during a window of lingering trough ( old frontal axis) it's like giving a toy-top a spin

Speak of the devil - ha! there's an invest out there - weird

Come to think of it...I have been watching the early season TW traffic out in the Atlantic and some of these waves are rather robust - perhaps establishing some seasonal tendency? that usually does manifest, '...that season began suspiciously with strong waves yadda yadda yadda - ' when in hindsight. Unlike last year, SAL is not as prevalent early on, either- not sure what that may mean for later in J/A/S but last year seemed to be plagued the whole way out there.

- also, anyone notice that tight gyre with core-centered convection east of Hatteras ? so I go to TPC and no kiddin! - out of nowhere they have a high prob invest there.

It was clear sky before, evinced via the early morning hi res vis satellite loops. But as this thing is leaving, same sat vantages a scunged backside clear to PA. It has that stoned painting crew's latex spilled on a highway look to it, like it'll need the power of 10 suns to burn it off. Otherwise, today might be interesting too.

Here? - perhaps not for at least a week. I'm not sure I buy the longevity of that temperate GFS solution - it tends to rasp heights down everywhere, as a cumulative bias. By day 10, it is consummately the coolest guidance of any choice offered within the polar/Ferrel domain, and that leads all kinds of large scale systemic errors. . But in the interim, the heat in the west is a pretty extraordinary circumstance - it will exceed, in standard deviation, relative to our 4 to 5 day heat wave's daily scalar value, and in areal coverage, both. It's amazing event. I get it - imby is all that matter.. blah blah. Just sayn' Hey, does anyone know if that old Death Valley record was still in dispute? Last I knew, the world record hottest was some place Africa sub-saran ... but that one was in dispute - or was it the 2nd place record in Death Valley?? I'm noticing the 2-meter on the Euro approaching a buck-20 and thing is, that model tends to mature its numbers to the day of potential if anything and we're still beyond day four. I'm wondering if some uniquely climate hot spots may sound the knell -

Starting to remind me of the 2013 season for that mystique. heroic incarnate -

Mass killing incidence/attempts have increased an order of magnitude spanning the last 25 years. Inside and out of urban vs rural settings, and blurred regions that cross -over demographics, too. Not sure how anyone's drawing distinctions on violence. It seems there is another systemic "trigger" that isn't related to traditional simplistic models of over-population leading to stress factors with density. It's fun to blame it on shit, though. it's just ( numbers game + the internet fomenting the unstable fringe among them) /2 and represents a far more profound systemic pandemia than any f'n virus, and is a factor of socio-dynamic feedbacks upon a species that was not intrinsically evolved to handle the immense power said tech affords them. The ultimate result of said experiment yet to be determined. Namely, it cuts the 700 thousand years of human evolutionary co-dependency on one another in the cooperative social organization of human society. A lot of the travails are hands thus "made to be idol while playing with guns" - as a hugely simplistic metaphor.

California will be in a non-sustainable population crisis, inside of 30 years, without viable implementation in mass-produced desalination technology/advances necessary to make that happen.

I don't mind it...the cool air. Ooph. Loving it. We've put a kind of obscure historical heat event in the books - the kind that doesn't make history ...But what I mean is, have to go back so far to find a 5 day 90+er at this time of year, where/whence the climate inference argues that is very difficult to do. We may not of hit a daily record, but this is one of those that smolders in the aggregate. That is really should be notorious for doing so < June 10 of any year - definitely at this particular geographic nexus of butt-bang reasons to never be warm at least excuse imagined. Or forgetting reasons - it just doesn't. F! So in a symbolic sense of it, it's probably kinda sort okay if we settle back and pull June closer to just above normal as opposed ludicrous hypertension. Was just looking at the NAM's 12z FOUS grid and has 22 C at 980 over Logan, with a SW flow on Sunday, and 850s to 14 and change. That''s not like languishing in the cool side of the westerlies anyway. We're only correcting for 2 days at this point, when we probably should go more like week to 10 days considering the former.. I also 'get the feeling' that we are in 2 step ahead, 1 roll-back longer term seasonal transition, and the next heat-up may be more important. Just three weeks ago, we had a gutted ridge that got 594 heights to retro under us, but only 85 F warmth...Then we had a weird shallow curvature nor'easter deal with cool 2 -3" beneficial rains. Then, this last week the ridge returns more prominently with higher temperature potential, and duration. Now we relax back... See were this is going ? The next propel forward may actually be the true SW heat release... which that last one did not have that "extra double top secret propationary" heat charged atomic air - all the heat was home grown. Imagine if Hot Saturday, August 1975 happened on say, a June 26th after 45 years of CC, under a 100% canopy sun

Just throwin' it out there... The chances of any one location getting pegged by a tornado classification that is in of its self, exceptionally rare ... mm, I don't know. Might just be a good night at the Blackjack table, but the 'night' in this metaphor is 20 years long.

Have y'all been paying attention to the drought in Cali/OR/Wa and the SW ? wow huh - It's June, and dry season is about to begin. We're looking at environmental impacts that are typical in early September in the 'normal climate dry years' Shutting down reservoirs and ( granted it is CNN trying to foment thumb swipes, mouse clicks and T.V. channeling ) setting off plausible riots over potable water sourcing - Meanwhile, this eerily tall ridge dome out there in the modeling mid range is threatening to pop and flood its lava down to the L.A. shores, possibly up as far as N. Central Valley of California. Some of us mentioned two months ago that we were worried about the hot season out west, this year. I was not part of that group of posting(s) but nod head - jesus christ. I mean, I'm looking at 2 meter temps in all guidance. Granted the whole synopsis appears to only last for 3 or 4 days but two of them suckers are 109 to 115 up-down the Central Valley, and given the resolution of products, its hard to tell if the typical marine restorative BL flow is really even protecting the shores/cities at this point. I can't imagine if that air were to some how get west of the coastal ranges and spill off shore. It probably won't? but man.

it was suppose to rain dunnite? ha, wasn't/haven't been paying any attention.

Probably there's also an 'ethnic, racial and economic' stigma - that's really at the pith of it ( just imho - ) People do carry stereotypes - everyone does. Get real. Stereotyping is not bad, really - liberals told us it was in the 1980s and culture is still trying to cancel what evolution provided humans with, eons ago: the ability to surmise threat from a distance. It is what happens after stereotyping has been either supported, or proven to have been the faux interpretation. That's when it becomes racism or ethnic prejudice ...blah blah Now... not taking sides/dimensions, just my observations. But that density, I strongly suspect that appeals to the stereotype mechanism, as meaning affordability to the proletariat class; which is more aptly peopled by minority ethnic groups, which are racially ( often ) distinguished, and have less than bigger economic ownership. That's a fact Liberals - not saying it is right. But the guess-work is not without empirical truism. ...And people wanna seem liberal and Kumbaya in one had, while preserving their enclave from being diluted. You called it amenities - that's fine for me. But I also think it is tribal 'superiority' aspect that is seldom admitted, too. "Oh great - their goes the neighborhood"

I have weird fantasies about using the scale of the Earth's various systems to set off apocalypse experiments, just for morbid curiosity if not deviant lust for mayhem LOL Like, taking a 5X5X100 mile slab of African trade belt, TW transporting air, and just plunking that mass down out amidst the expanse of the Antarctica continent, well within the ring of polar jet that eternally imprisons that cryo Hades off from the rest of the world. Pop corn and beer the result from a live-fed vantage -array of geo stationary satellites, into a movie theater cinema show. Let's go to the movies! Or how about, snapping one's fingers and having the water temperature of the Labrador current be like 98 F to a thermocline depth of 100 meters - flick.

Other aspect for me is ...if we are talking about 30 -year means, be it last century or recent grouping, I would think that point variations would tend to obscure by noise and they tend to wash out more similarly. Unless their local setting has a bigger bicep environmental variation that differentiates the too - heh, like comparing Logan to BDL. Or even EWR to LGA. Where's AVP ? Isn't that Scranton PA? ...CON NH may be far enough N that although they may be situated similarly/safely away from the back of the Labrador ball-sack, latitude prolly just becomes a factor in the sensitivity at them two points.

No - still, 4 is a bit much. It may be that the climate norms have exploded by that much - if so, it's just a point of awe if that is the case. No argument - like I said, it was an admitted first impression. - the other aspect about those numbers is the max T's - forget the climate part for a moment. I don't think I have seen a week of average results in 20 years; yet that GFS ( go wonder ) sells. It just lusts to cancel warmth at any excuse imagined I've come to find. If not obvious at a model glance, it just stenches of across all of its products suites, from numeric to synopsis; it's always finding and seeking the cool side. - half sarcastic here.

Yeah...that's what I figured off the bat but 4 ? seemin' kind of much.

Nothing better to do at the moment so I'll throw in a knee-jerk surmise as to why that "might" be: The GFSX (MET) is still based on the previous 30-year mean. The new Nabisco cooked numbers from the meshed up new idea may be basing that on the recently updated climate range - impetus being that recent decade(s) have seen a robust increased in x-y-z. Having said that, 4 F both, in the low and high, is an odd coincidence. Sort of tilts one to wonder if that's just some operator error. Also, 4 F is a lot of CC for one site; seems to exceed the global signal.

Seasonal lag is not really done at his latitude yet, that's why.