Jump to content

Typhoon Tip

Meteorologist
  • Posts

    43,824
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Typhoon Tip

  1. This particular series between the Yankees and 'Sox is such a train wreck. how many bad omens are gonna half to be dodged to make this happen? LOL COVID cancelling games. Games that should not have been played, ... played deliberately long enough to tee up a couple of phat pitches down Broadway at precisely the right amount time in order "legalize" a win in favor of the demographic team, that also happens to desperately need a win to save a season they should really be selling off.. ? Umpires clearly biased ... And if the spectacle of it it all wasn't looking egregious enough, the taste getting any tackier, they were doing cut-ins to inform us that at a stadium next door there was actually gun play at another MLB game. Making America great again. Lol Sometimes I think it's just time to stop forcing it. They shouldn't' have played last night, either. Tough shit. It's called a day-night double header later in August. It happens. but enter the manipulation-force reason here [ ]
  2. You can see this warm front just reversed and became a BD collapsing back SW of Boston as an undercutting on vis loop - that's ball game on Sunday July 18, 2021 for eastern zones.
  3. Lol, ... now, we had/are having a summer - but I get the sarcasm. Like we said, it's just "too early" ... I mean it's more likely those 75 to 100 kt mid level streams up there relax some as that gets closer. But the technology manifold/physics tends to do this from time to time? It's like there are background forces, but the more realized wave structures/mechanics are masking. They are long term oscillatory aspects, and way out in time the models may loose the present more realized forces do canceling interactive noise, and when they cancel out ... it leaves the long term aspect to "coax the flow orientation" so to speak. It really is like revealing where it wants to go? I think it's fascinating. It reminds me of 'rogue wave' physics in the open seas. You /we know those are ... But they set up because of two physical processes: linear or non-linear wave mechanics. The first of the two, linear is easy. Wave A --> <-- Wave B = huge C because they super impose their wave energy. That is linear constructive interference. Non-linear is when you have 2ndary and tertiary residual interference patterns that can cause the rogue wave to seemingly lurch up out of the surrounding tumult some towering amplitude too far about the mean distribution of wave amplitude to be explained by any observable interference patterns. It's almost like this same thing happens in the atmosphere. Sometimes you have Alberta Clipper diving down the flow, and you have a southern stream wet juicy wave turning the corner. That's easy ... linear wave intererence leads to bomb. Rogue-ish event due to constructive interference. Then you have "teleconnector convergence" - a phrase I coined years ago because I am a loser with no life and think about this shit. oy.. But, Indian Ocean index ( say ..) sends a signal to the Del Marva, circuited through a favorable ENSO/ --> MJO transitioning. Meanwhile, the polar region happens to be setting up a -EPO ..which is not really dependent upon that array of former larger scale factors. Either one of which could favor a storm, but when you couple them together there is a "synergistic" aspect that enhances the favorability - "favorability" in this context just means the ability to dampen interfering factors in lieu of the dominating force - which happens to be the Cleveland Superbomb ...Or 1992 Dec ...or March 1993... Feb 1978...etc.
  4. Oh so close! ugh I just looked at hi res sat loop (vis) and you can see where the warm boundary is - right along the Pike, maaybe 10 mi N. Anywhere N of that ~ W-E axis is butt packed in mid 60s drizzle and dead air. Hard to say if it lifts any further N but I'm suspecting/wondering if it's pinned. There is a cyclonic rotation to the cloud field over eastern PA - warm boundaries seldom arc N of cyclone latitudes in SNE - that's like physically insulting to classical mechanics or something lol S.. probably makes 83/76 just before streams take out more neighborhoods... Noticing also the GFS is already attempting to speed up the hemisphere and establish rudimentary R-w signatures .... Oh, here it is, 10 minutes past the f'n solstice and the GFS already thinks it's October. It's done this the last five years ... mid July and suddenly it has screaming 500 mb polar jet through 55 N in Canada by August 1. But here's the thing ... it has the right idea - it does. It's just too early. I mean there is a reason we have observed so many October snow and/or snow -supportive CAA events prior to Halloween through Thanks giggedy. It's because the HC is pressing into the lower Ferril latitudes ... --> This increase the ambient gradient at mid and upper levels of the mid latitudes --> Speeds up the wind field ( balanced geostrophic gradient ) --> Increase wind velocity then triggers large scale mechanical wave responses... --> The wave positions around the hemisphere will situate according to the same laws that govern how they do so in February; it does not matter. They don't change just because this whole process, consequentially occurs earlier and earlier in warm seasons. So, you end up with some sort of highly amplified, albeit strangely early hemisphere CAA events. (Keeping in mind .. this pertains to how CC effects the circulation modes over North America) Viola... Snow on October 15 thru Dec 1 happens, more frequently then before; the HC expansion counter intuitive response. But it doesn't last ... Because that gradient becomes so excessive in winter that the R wave distribution becomes mobile and also compressed... so you really get exotic extremes and whole lot of interference patterns ... usually more negative than positive.
  5. LOL altho we're actually sorta kinda missing out here I'm noticing. Oh, our hydro's up - no question. But we aren't topping ponds over adjacent fields, and town streams and brooks are just healthy flows. In fact, the Nashua rivers still pretty much in its banks. I'll probably dweeb check it later - it flows 2.5 miles from my house. Muse: this area of Nashoba Valley is an effluvial plain. I was told that by civil engineers/geologists when came down our neighborhood drilling core samples over concerns for Arsenic contamination run-off from the old Fort Devans military landfill. Apparently they were hitting strata of sand and pete-debris ...sedimentary layers that are some inches thick and could only be that massive if there was some kind of catastrophic thing. 20 feet deep super lake here. Probably needs 300" snow year ending with 90 F heat and a typhoon in March some how some way... lol Anyway, I'm willing to hunch that the 10 day cumulative has a relative min in this region of N. Middlesex Co.
  6. Apparently .. "verdugo" is a little bit 'dizzy' about ethics, huh -
  7. Right... so that we can bubble up another 2 or 3" road eroders
  8. I bet some sort of a scenario-scaled 'attribution study' or science would evince this 'wet 10 days' as physically connected to CC. Looking at these guidance initializations, ... regardless of which, the non-hydrostatic height signatures do not support this incredible output. 582 trough? trough! ...we've had temps in the high 90s with open blue sky in that height. Heights in the western N/A coupled balance are only 594 - impressive in the scalar value, but not in the field differentials. 580 height nadirs with a single isohyspes circumnavigating, nested inside 588 mean domain depth: That is simple lacking mechanics to product rain output at this mass loading. I really believe the culprit from any said study would likely expose: a weak systemic triggering + excessive PWAT. You get "synergistic" feed backs ( so to speak) where results tend to go beyond predictive modeling. Larger PWAT in the ambience is one of the most consistently recurring consequence that "precipitates" ( haha) out of climate change modeling
  9. mm ...hunch and personal relationship with modernity : I suggest that era-relative sociodynamic mechanisms are only similar - for one... the frequency is up ( delta(dykhead) is +, and that is an acceleration in the collapse of civility ). The only thing consistent with the two in comparing gestalts is that yeah ...assholes exist in both realms. But that's as far as the similarities go - lol, just leavin' it at that
  10. Heh … unfortunately, not for the same reason.
  11. Societal morays and restraint approaching critical We’re getting shootings at MLB games now too according to that cut in ? Okay Meanwhile at this Red Sox game a yankee fans throwing at actual players …. brazen acts that just simply didn’t take place prior generations - I wonder if gun play at a fcking MLB game is enough cause a league stoppage for awhile.
  12. Was wonderin' about this ... Look at sat and obs, it seems the cold front never really convincingly made it through the area despite WPC's analyzing it through LI As the days gotten on ... the strata/fog bank vanished and/or begun moving back NE and the CU field in CT/RI and western MA has begin moving N. If anything there's maybe some frontal-related SRH in the area too with light by veered llv winds. So...vis shows the skies opening up with ample sun intervals, and KFIT bounces to 81/69 ? Not very convincing as a cool side of any boundary and now we have a mid level mechanic entrance/right jet region. So I go to SPC and CT is about to be Watch boxed..I suspect they may need that up as far as ORH or even Rt 2, but we'll see.
  13. the other thing is that the amount of the carbon footprint due to cars by Humanity et al I don't think is really the bigger problem. It's power generation - maybe that has changed
  14. That could be misleading. That QPF is taking place in a PWAT saturated warm atmosphere. Doesn't strike me as a Mem or 4th of July weekend, cold misty ordeals. I'm late to the mise-en-scene for this weekend ... so may be missing something, but that has more of elevated DP, thunder in the distance look. Wet times... not all the time. With flood warning when it trains somewhere in BAF area. The QPF charts, Euro and NAM etc, swell and decay along the diurnal modulation - that probably means some solar is getting through. I know - it is going to be hard to see through any other presumptive lens after those summer milestone weekends were so dark-artfully targeted-for-destruction. LOL. Need to a double-session Librium to go with access to weather charts to keep it real. Actually, it will be strata rain at 58 now just because I'm mentioning it - but that requires something more like a exorcism.
  15. Tomorrow looks brutal. 93 may do it but zip wind while 72 DP ozone bake
  16. Heh.... but it's not the installation of an A/C unit - duh ...wtf - Can't damage the windows and so it's not just at matter of jamming one in and kludging the insall - I was having trouble finding the right kind of brackets - the device needs to 'float' and takes the weight of the A/C unit - so that there isn't damage or physical alterations done to it structurally. Don't wanna lose the warranty
  17. I dunno... CO2 released back to the atmosphere above the background geologic processes to absorb it, results in heating the atmosphere of the planet. Inevitably, warm air WILL intrude the polar inner domain, including melting the ice caps. I'm not talking in 10 minutes... Over time - that said, that time ...is speeding up. It is the more culpable longer term system forcing mechanism at this sort of planetary scope and scale. I just think it risky to and borderline evasive to rely upon sub-physical causality to explain melting when these/those sub- scale forcing mechanism have been their through the geological epoch, and only now they matter, for a changed reason.
  18. Yeah no kidding ...that went quickly thru, too - swoosh. Also, you can make out an interesting low level cyclonic circulation over the open waters E of PSM, too - that may have helped delay those coastal regions
  19. do you have a picture of that unit, the new one ... part of this bracket shit is because I don't want to get a new A.C. and not have a way to install it. I am now nearing the solution for the bracket - I need the unit. I calculated the volume/ BTU and it came out to 9,XXX so 10 is probably just about right. I could just go buy a lot version at Home Depot for 150 - but it'll be a piece of shit and won't last.
  20. Cool! Thanks for the idea/advice.
  21. I think I know what you mean - no need to post pics ...yeah, it's why I posted a picture of my own - to show the vinyl jam/casing edge. But, the brackets ( "Ivation" ) also appears to achieve what you are suggesting with the your own pine-and-cut DIY suggestion. I guess it can't hear to show, no - Basically, either method: the apparatus 'suspends' the AC unit through the window aperture, without physically impacting/marring the window's physical components. Definitely these are the recourse' for this issue. This is my first foray as a home owner into dealing with AC and replacement windows. I don't have central air, and the previous windows were casings installed circa mid last Century - literally...not merely figuratively. They were that old. Sme were the earliest replacement technology, like 1978. Yet others appeared original; the casings upstairs from somewhere between 1909 ( the home construction ), and the 1970s - wood and single pane, with glazing. I mean, that's like neolithic at this point. So screwing A.C. units in and stuffing insulation foam around the edges was okay for the previous window sets... But, now that I have replaced with these new ones, those/that is no longer soluble. Seems like a simple thing ...but it is and isn't just the same. I was imagining these solutions, but wasn't actually finding them on the web - possibly because I don't have patients for the Internet anymore since it become impractically weighted down in a morass of people trying to sell shit. The better days of the Internet ... roughly 1997 to 2002, are gone - everything after that takes a team of Google engineers to find what you want. Almost as though it's by design too - get the money through the electronic sale, negotiate return or keep after. To avoid that it takes as long to parse through the ambitions of greed and/or special interest groups, as it did doing research back in the 1980s before using the god-damn thing. Jesus .. Going on line now is an endless siege miss-direction to diverge your attention from the linear line of site targeted search - what? in the off chance that you'll put down finding socks to become a gov hating Republican that thinks the hurricane frequency is caused by human rights for lesbians ? It's just a morass now! But that's a digression ... I tried searching for a while and my patience for it all is so thin to begin with I just figured I'd ask and sure enough ... within 10 replies, one trickles in that is a better start. Thanks all!
  22. Yes! Now we're getting "warm" - well, hopefully cooler.. But yeah. This is what I had in mind when I first asked about the "AC brackets" - I'll start my solution research here - thx! Course, I have a fuzzy caveman feeling that as soon as I finally complete my state of the art a new AC install that is both secure and insulated, that is when summer will affectedly end - one way or the other.
  23. Yeah there’s a warranty on the windows - can’t screw into them. Probably should have mentioned that heh - sorry. that’s why I was researching online with these brackets I’m not sure those are right either. it might be could be a simple solution where the bracket creates a flat surface and the AC on top of that. I got to do lotta insulating around it though-I don’t know. I think most of these modern updated advanced hyper tech windows are intended to go into houses with central air. In any case the AC has to sort of be suspended through the window without actually damaging the window itself or marring like physically screwing screws into the sashing - that’s really at the core of the issue
  24. Steve’s solution might still work - if I put a two by four along the outside sill that might make it flat enough. It would maybe be more secure too - I mean the one in there now that needs replacing you can just push that right in from the outside. I mean the inside edge is held up by the top window being closed over but the bottom is just teetering on the bottom edge of the window the whole thing is just fn stupidly sitting there. Probably should call her window company back and start complaining man because I was very clear about this oh you’ll be able to get an AC in there-how. It’s not obvious.
×
×
  • Create New...