Typhoon Tip

Looking at that yellowy .. subtle orange hued firmament with the sun just feebly strong enough to still dapple shadows under trees and shade ... I always imagine that is what it must be like on a planet that has a red dwarf for a sun. Of course .. any such world is unlikely to have trees like we visualize of them here on Earth ... but just the quality and casting of light.

Wrt to climate change: I wonder if the more comprehensive environmental impact modeling takes into consideration smoke aerosols? I mean is it built into the complex math of it - Does smoke's reflective nature equal that of a non-human Earth clouds. If so, is there thresholds of mass composition in the ambient space of the atmosphere. Does that matter at sigma levels where the density of air is lower, so the same mass of smoke disperses more and so it becomes a morass of 2nd and 3rd order partial derivatives... etc... Smoke is pale on satellite...but it is not white. That may seem rather simplistic or unsophisticated ..but, white is white because it reflects more proficiently than dark. That isn't simple, it's just fact (not that anyone thought otherwise - heh). So logic implies that smoke doesn't reflect as well as cloud but ... there could be some other micro-physics that are less than obviously effecting that. But it does reflect some, it has to. It just is a matter of absorption versus - Very complex, because diffused smoke particulate matter is composed of a vastly differing spectrum of compounds. Any one of which reflects vs absorbs at different electromagnetic wavelengths. It's like an oil refinery Bible failure and Hades on earth soot bomb probably doesn't have the same albedo to absorption ratio as say regular western typical wild fire exhaust. I imagine there could be a theoretical spectrum, where say at one end you have comet/asteroid impacts, then ...oil ... volcanism ... woodland/wild fires ... SAL (saharan air layer) ... spread out from big to lower cost in the global heating budget. And it matters for climate science ( obviously..) because reflecting S/W radiation doesn't end up trapped L/W radiation, in a richer greenhouse fart world.

Gee - I wonder why that is ...

Killer heatwave in the Midwest on this GFS run. That ridge out there has been flexing in the late mid extended range for a few cycles …some runs more than others. So far the models are insistent on a bleeding at all south west of us but it could be really interesting for Chicago Also has a kind of 1930s look to it overall

Like I said… It was too early to start alarming because of the Yankees series… when it was quagmired with bad weather this and suspect “committee efforts” on the part of the umpiring staff that … the whole way thru. Sometimes the tides can turn because of something that happens in the game itself but that whole thing was being bombarded by circumstances from the outside in

Actually ...best this lawns ever looked frankly. Not just for July, ever The Irish sent representative but they reported back they couldn't compete. Plus rabbits - what the f is with all the g-damn rabbits. I swear, the next plague is gonna be like the Hunta Virus but linked to rabbits. And their brazen too ... they just sit there and a stare you down, like the one from Monty Python and the Holy Grail. One was even hopping sort of toward me. Really ? They don't seem to be afraid of people. It's a not a joke. They are infesting. Great numbers.

It's actually really nice here ...save for that rumble of thunder I just heard - wtf. anyway, sun popped out and it jolted 76. Shows that this is a "fake" cool air mass, entirely self engineered by weird synoptic feedback of this stationary nodal trough. I almost wonder if the ridges, W and SE of 90 W are causing this to spontaneously implode the heights because seriously, there's no S/W mechanical feed into this region and there really has not been very substantial. It just keeps parting then we fill it in with clouds and showers

well ...in his defense, he said "summer" Going by summer/Met clmo, pretty sure the (June + so far July)/2 = a positive return. It may not end that way ... but this 45 or so days in so far as summer goes -

Right LOL Like, " So c'mon and live in Baltimore - it's actually kinda fun if you think about it "

Yeah ...my neighbors have home schooled their kittens whole way, 4 daughters worth. The two eldest, twins, are entering high school this next year. I guess the way it works in Mass is that if you want to do home schooling ... you can be sent schoolastic sort of 'achievement milestones' exams, and the kids prepare for them ...however it is that the home, and the schooling, actually marry. The state and public domain is out of the picture as that happens. Built into the tax codes as a option I guess. Anyway, it was interesting sitting in their yard with them discussing this last 18 months, and gathering in their perspective on the reality of the thing. There was an unmistakable kind of "meh" behind fun articulation, almost glib due to lax urgency. Like you get from people in a room watching a dystopian movie and discussing what they were seeing, rather than actually being a part of it. lol - seriously though. Their kids have not missed anything. Just sort of had to deal with not getting to go over to their friends houses for the time. But they didn't miss a day of education or testing mandate or anything. No clue. World seen through 7 to 14 year old lenses, but not necessarily responsible within.

Oh christ what - did something happen out there ?

It's ugly and counter -WOKE perhaps to even make the verbal jest but - Pandemic disease and die-backs are a part of the natural order. To attempt to circumvent that proxy by nature, can and most probably will destination toward emergent consequences. Namely, a lost generation of techno addled nimrods - lol. Seriously though, the human is adaptable and it probably won't be as bad as all that. But, this bit of experimental evolutionary passage Humanity has just ... still "is" going through, is really the first time that proxy mentioned above has ever really been direclty competed with - I think that's interesting. Ladies and gentlemen! In this corner we have 3 billion years of biological periodicity between boon health, vs population correction eras, along with a lot of luck that the latter doesn't result in an extinction event ...etc etc. In this other corner, weighing in nearly 8 billion, we have human technology and the first species ( ha, "that we know of..." ) ever in the history of this planet's biota that approaches the wherewithal to challenge that model. It's like we may win this boxing match - but how do we fair in post dementia pugilistica? Uh, you know, punch-drunk syndrome. It's probably ultimately the same shit as that PCS ... Anyway, so we're beating our brains out proving we can win against that old adversary but at what cost - Hopefully it won't be like the zen-master story in "Charlie Wilson's War" ( fine movie by the way!) ...Which was really - I 'think' - a reprisal for that script of the old proverb about the "The Old Man Lost His Horse" ? ..In any case, both versions tell a fast story that amounts to how bad(good) luck ...tends to set off a chain of events that ironically causes longer term counter states of fortune. Hell, here's the zen -master version (c/o https://www.moviefanatic.com/quotes/movies/charlie-wilsons-war/ ): "There's a little boy and on his 14th birthday he gets a horse... and everybody in the village says, 'how wonderful. the boy got a horse' And the Zen master says, 'we'll see.' Two years later The boy falls off the horse, breaks his leg, and everybody in the village says, 'how terrible.' And the Zen master says, 'We'll see.' Then a war breaks out and all the young men have to go off and fight... except the boy can't cause his legs messed up, and everyone in the village says, 'How wonderful.' And the Zen master says, 'We'll see.'

Right - not sure how that can be avoided ( geo f'um physically) in this weird festering positive hydro feed-back loop. It's like we need 110 F to get a standard DP depression at this point. hahaha

Back on earth ... we may see a sunset in the east. Hey it's sumpin'

.... although, Kevin claims to like it.

Yeah ...it more so appears the neutralization of anomalies is more likely attributed to clouds abundance under this non-hydrostatic nadir/ DP collecting pool. Really, the metaphor works. It festers. There is no scouring CAA of 48 F DP with 26 mph NW katabatic streamline drying going on. We keep smearing out these wet intervals into what's coming tomorrow. 88/ 74 ... The next nadir either arrives, but really 'emerges' out of the non-linear wave mechanics of the negative region between the WAR and west ridge nodes..., train convection and the cycles starts over. You can already see the next oscillation setting up for hour 60 - still, not seeing substantive continental drying that typically happens at our latitude's summers some ~ 7 to 10 day periodicity in the 1900 to 2000 climate.

I was reticent to involve in the whole 'worst summer of all time' narrative that emerged like mushrooms out of the disenchanted peat ... But, I'm willing to nod to the notion of it this claiming July. And I did not see this happening - not even remotely really. It seems this murk we are experiencing in abundance over the last two weeks is a node between WAR and western N/A excessively expressing +PNAP. This has been in situ really since the big-like heat of the last week of June broke, we've been struggling to get away from this, but ultimately failing. At other times like yesterday and this morning, "submerged" in it is apropos! PNAP means "perennial north American pattern" in this context, which is not the same as PNA, or Pacific -North American. The perennial, or 'baseline' climate circulation mode over north America features a modest ridge bulge over the west, and a sort of asymptotic slope into an exit nadir over the Atlantic. Since roughly July 1 that has been in an exaggerated structure, regardless of the PNA, which was in both positive and negative modes, yet this +PNAP anomaly persisted through either. But, consequentially, we seem to have wound up in a neggie node here. This whole trough ordeal is really more like a weakness than a trough. In fact, looking at the ensemble initialization of either the EPS, GEFs, or GEPs ... we are in a ubiquitous neutral to positive anomaly in the non-hydrostatic heights everywhere over mid latitudes of N/A during this last 5 days. Yet, we are getting all this disproportionately persisting sludge parked specifically right here. The circulation around this region at times seems quick ... but the axis of it, itself, has moved some 300 naut miles ...or about 5 deg of longitude, in 72 hours! That's a planetary fixed feature. I am not sure if that is going to be the rest of the summer. It may. I don't know. But it is and has been the present 10 day to 2-week predicament of semi-persistence, having replaced the cyclic positive anomalies of June. Re that: there were four definitive ridge anomalies in the east from mid to late May to the end of June, and so far, none in July - at least that I can recall. I have seen them modeled, yup - but then within a couple .. few cycles, the structures always just collapsed back to this or variations of this, above. Be that as it may, tomorrow is a sneaking huge day-to-day change. That's the other aspect about this. We are managing to put together some really impressive intra-weekly temperature changes somehow by way of having this look in the means, when none of it has really been CAA transporting - by nature of the 'fake' or faux mechanics of it.

Maybe this was the genius of the cabals intent and design all along ... built into their formulaic 'population correction model' Half the people walking the planet and carrying signs at Trump rallies appear unable, either way ... struggle with inability to be owners of the brain boxes that evolution provided them, and refuse 'the cure'. The cabal created a Darwinian correction model that mechanically needs these types to work. Yeah ... that's saving the planet what ? 3 or even 5 billion in carbon integrated per capita right there. F'n morons..

Heh... the religiosity shit is tongue-in cheek ( sorta). The main point is the catch-22 ... Probably just explains that "Fermi Paradox" stuff ... it's all out there. It's not novel thinking here. As far as god: I'm not personally willing to ascribe to any religious doctrine - ever... Human profundity is too shallow to plumb the infinite requirement in depth where any such truth is - maybe that is heaven (or hell). Maybe not. It is inherently a paradoxical/contradiction of terms that any doctrine born from that capacity can thus be able to see in and espouse "truth" ... That's like asking a Chimpanzee to reconcile the two fundamental pillars of physics, QM and GR But as that abstractly suggests, it does leave open possibilities? At least that's what I mean. Part of the problem with Science is that it cannot ultimately rule out the possibility that some sort of super construct ( agency ...'god' .. whatever) isn't responsible for the Cosmos and the reality it contains. In fact, the rules of science are IN said Cosmos and its reality, so, if there is a god, god is responsible. That's just logic. Anyway, long of the short ... I'm amenable to the notion of some sort of super-sense that transcends the limited scope of Human math and science and empirical perceptions might some how tie-in meaning to all this, but I am equally open to the notion that there isn't either. But I personally do not believe whatever that is, is contained in any human systemic definition.

Nah, it is far more likely their society suffered the same Universal kill-switch that will inevitably befall Humanity, too. They managed to trip the switch and cease to exist, long before ever reaching the necessary god-like technological achievement to make passive or silent co-invasive habitation, or even just observance, possible. I know.. I know. What about the Drake Equation this, or 'if it happened once it happens all the time' that - The problem with "Drake equation" is that it's mathematics is too argumentative to be ... a mathematical description. Not for what it espouses to, or attempts to describe. No. It misses destructive interference factors, or 'denominator mechanics'. Like, it needs to multiply that entire sequence of products by empirically derived/observable time bombs. 1/ ( ... reason to fail and die), relevant to every individual term. As for the, 'it happens once...' narrative - it hasn't actually happened even once. Dreary assessment of Humanity's fate aside ... despite any conceptions in conceit of whatever it is we think we are of our selves, ... we ain't it. We are a stage 0 civilization on the 1 to 5 scale of advance. Yup ...we don't even register in the competition - probably because we consider it a competition for starters. Reasons to fail and end timelines get thrown at civilizations. It appears to be built in. Those that are 'up and comers,' they all must experiment through their own evolutionary process, shedding primitive ambitions 'just in time' before mixing those motivation with incredible power. That is probably a good denominator for that L term in Drakes interminable optimism... But therein is a huge catch-22. As the power to advance up the scale is achieved, that means a given civilization survived the failures. Evolution is an iterative experimental journey - inherently, that cannot be otherwise. A failure at incomprehensible scales of power becomes intrinsically self-annihilating, long before the infinity can be contained. There is a bottle-neck of "forgiveness" that ends up too narrow to allow the advance beyond a certain point. This appears to be some sort of a Universal modulator or "stop control," a universal "kill switch" ( think there is a sci fi book called that). For lack of better whimsy, a cosmological constant of death lurks in the destiny formula of all sufficiently advancing civilities. One of the notes in the music is wired with a detonator, just waiting to resolve at some point along the Grand Staff. It's just a matter of time before the term or factor is struck, - poof Why is it there? Who knows. Perhaps it is there by design. Huh. Like by an ego-centric agency ... to prevent competition from below, while protecting their anonymity. I like that, actually. Because it is very human. Butchering the Catholic Bible ... 'We are materialized from the dust; and to the dust we shall return' - I am not religious. It seems apropos is all... but that of the cosmos, we therefore probably share something in common with it. Maybe all we are is an excessively primitive variation of the greatest fault there is: God

That looks like Belchertown got water boarded again

No I think that’s too quick of an assessment just imho - Although in your defense it took Jason Varitek slapping Alexander Rodriguez in the head in August 2004 to turn that season around. By the way I’m diggin A-rod as a game guy. I think he does an even unbiased gig

Not sure why anyone feels they need expend any energy trying to disqualify what I said about the MLB game/shooting the shooting is the point; if there was no game would there have been a shooting? Probably not if we’re realistic - there’s no other point. In the stadium outside the stadium who the f cares it happened at a game. Too close

In the grand scheme of things it was right next door -sorry And ease off the regulatory committee yeah? It was hyperbole -obviously Point was cut in to convey that dystopian information in the middle that other BS going on - it was about the omen and homage Aside from the fact that whether it was at the stadium or in the stadium it was still at the MLB game

I know it It's been weird. I really don't recall a single BD in April that really could qualitatively be one, and maybe vaguely one in May. June maybe but it was so overwhelmingly warm if not hot, it really if so its not the same as this - not even close all three of those months put together. There's been at least five acceleration events like what you see there on the vis imagery ... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Rhode_Island-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined The weird part about it it? There's no S/W moving SE out of Ontario. Heights are 582 godDAM NE of Caribou. It's almost the weight of cooler saturated air alone that's doing this. That boundary is moving unusually slowly too - creeping