Kevin Reilly

not surprising radar looks pretty good down around Baltimore and DC especially on the NW side. Many locations down there in DC saying they have near 3"

I mean the dude in Swarthmore has 1.5" I am not going to argue over .2" LOL Swarthmore is 3 miles away to my SSE. A pixe dust steady light snow continues to fall 24f.

revised sorry 1.7"

27 Moderate Snow humidity 80% Dewpoint 21 pressure 30.22 wind SE 1 mph total snow accumulation 2.1"

27 Moderate Snow humidity 80% Dewpoint 21 pressure 30.22 wind SE 1 mph total snow accumulation 2.1"

Light Snow 25 half inch of snow all surfaces covered.

They know!

Looks like the NAM a bit

Now the next think to wonder about which model does the best with overrunning precipitation and how much of a jet overhead can we get to force the moisture up and over the top most efficiently.

Dan Quinn edit never mind Dan Quinn probably running out of Dallas too to go to Titans or something.

The old times are back!

Yea I always have seen the SREF as a predictor of how much wetter the next NAM run would be. Also the Rap model that is like an ancient dinosaur of a model good luck with that model.

It is in line with the Ukie

Here comes the 48-60 Hail Mary!!

Dynamic for 15 minutes been here before but usually these little mesoscale events lead to a major snowstorm in a week or less.

My take Ralph is a squall or two wait a day or two then 2"

What a buzz kill of model runs over the past 24 hours. We can't even do this storm right the rain has stopped, and it is out of here total rain 0.77". Channel 10 had Media at like 2.30"??? Wind 45-55 LOL right strongest gust I had was 22 mph. I guess the wind this time is behind the storm. One thing that was not wrong we hit 60 now it is down to 57 so the steady decline has begun. Honestly stepped out a few minutes ago feels like a late May morning very very humid. Today the models get with it in regard to snow next week. The storm to our west is leaving stage left. The cold air change is going to take like 2 days SSW flow then SW Flow then WSW to West then NW in other words the cold is taking the long way maybe the same can be said for our storm hiding behind the cold front that is to come. I am sure there will be some inverted trough that will save some here! Okay back to sleep and my dreams of inverted troughs and storms that don't exist yet.

Oh, the dreaded inverted trough those rarely work out, but when they do they are interesting. The last one to visit around here I think was like 2008 or so. We picked up 7" of snow while 30 miles away the skies were clear to the north with the moon out and a few passing clouds go 13 miles southeast they picked up 13" go 13 miles southwest they picked up 2". They are interesting and fun to track. Right now, we are looking for anything that will work at this point and an inverted trough is an interesting one.

JB still thinking snowstorm on Tuesday? Would love to hear his analysis on the upcoming event or may I say nonevent. I guess he is waiting to be saved by the Euro at 0z.

So far this storm is overhyped it is very underwhelming just some light steady rain and the wind is a complete dud maybe I had a gust to like 25 mph at best so far. This whole dam thing sucks. Something has to give I mean it's below zero out west now.

There are no words that can explain how we got here no words! How do you have all that below zero air poised to come down into the lower 48 have below zero air in the lower 48 and get no storm along the gulf and Atlantic of any substance makes no sense.

JB still thinks last weekend's storm is still coming! Ratings Raitings ratings.

I think looking at the UKIE, ICON, and GFS it is clear to me that the Euro is in its bias of holding energy or not handeling it correctly out west. Typically this happens in the southwestern United States though.

This makes the most sense to me establishing just the right block typical stuff around here if you ask me.

hmmm what is with the 300 mile jump back west to the coast. This run is wonky and clearly is confused and missing something. 997 way out then moves 300 miles west to 992 then bombs away to 979 to 970 something is amiss here. I am willing to bet data is missing somewhere and or there is clear confusion with the storm tomorrow night into Saturday.