Windspeed
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Everything posted by Windspeed
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Sometimes things get overlooked. Just have to repeat the question sometimes.
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[emoji849]
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- 168 replies
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- 2
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- leaves changing
- temperatures
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You may be correct. The feature doesn't look as impressive and might be waning.
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Definitely intriguing to be sure...
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That's not how this works. It's quiet at the moment because forecast and intensity trends are fairly locked down and there is no land interaction other than some marginal effects on Bermuda currently. But that doesn't mean you should ask the question in another storm thread. Delete your post and put it in the correct thread. Someone will notice. [emoji6]
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The surface circulation is definitely taking jumps west closer to that vigorous mid level circulation per recon. LLC reformation appears to be underway. There is still shear and dry stable air but perhaps if Beta can form a core that will allow it to fight back. At any rate, this is a sign that Beta could have a period of intensification this afternoon.
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Perhaps shear has decreased just enough to allow for some alignment.
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This is not banter material.
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Perhaps a revision can be done in the coming year and they can formulate a better backup plan in the event we run out of names again. Unfortunately it's too late to avoid the issue this year. That being said.. Eggplant?.. Eggplant? [emoji533] Seriously? You're fired, Naso!
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Wow that's a mean looking stovepipe!
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The NHC actually consulted with the Portuguese Institute of Sea and Atmosphere prior to classifying STS Alpha. Just speculation here but this was likely already a STC well before classification. I'd imagine in post analysis it will be backtracked into yesterday for posterity as that is when the STC had first started showing signs of having transitioned.
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TD22 will be upgraded to Tropical Storm Beta @ 4 PM CDT by the NHC. Best track per TAFB:
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Some folks reviewed the HURDAT2 data and apparently there had never been three seperate TCs form within a 24 hour period before. So that's a first.
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lol @ the long-range GFS... [emoji849]
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Nice core structure for a subtropical storm at that latitude. Pretty cold upper trough overhead to drive dynamics and lapse rates out of meager 22-24°C SSTs.
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Pretty much anyone hitting up the tropical forum today...
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It would have most definitely been upgraded to a no name subtropical cyclone in post-season reanalysis. The RS and empirical data is supportive. With land impacts imminent perhaps they thought it best to be named.
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That GFS op run would be problematic as it parallels the entirety of the Texas coastline unfortunately landfalling near Lake Charles.
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Well that definitely rules out a naming bias. They went as the data suggested best to them. Good old science. They could have been tempted to hold out a bit more for recon and give the name to TD22. Wilfred likely has a short cycle of existence due to future hostile shear. TD22 could end up being a significant landfall event for someone. At any rate, water under the bridge now.
