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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Not surprised, incredible and depressing. Lol
  2. mitchnick
    Incredible/depressing how all ensembles are jumping all over a SE major snowstorm.
  3. mitchnick
    Just looked at the Gefs snowfall, and thru 330hrs, big step back from 12z and prior runs.
  4. mitchnick
    Yep. We need a proverbial reshuffle, but it probably wouldn't make a difference with the Niña. Winter has spoken and dry is the word. This month is looking a lot like 1/77, but not quite as cold...not yet at least.
  5. mitchnick
    ...and everyone is depressed.
  6. mitchnick
    Gefs is hell bent on nailing OBX. Top map is day 8 and bottom map is day 10.
  7. mitchnick
    That's sorta the point. Nobody cares about the Ukie, so unless it's showing something great, there's not much worth talking about. It got from me what it deserves. How the verification numbers put it second to the Euro is beyond me.
  8. mitchnick
    I'm not here for your benefit! Lol Look at the model yourself and then there won't be any misunderstanding. Real simple.
  9. mitchnick
    It was warmer than 12z. There are such things in the English language called figures of speech.
  10. mitchnick
    Gfs is just one cold shot after another. I don't remember 13/14 being this persistent.
  11. mitchnick
    Gem gave me 8" and the Ukie 2.5". What are you talking about?
  12. mitchnick
    Ukie warmer. Lol I give up
  13. mitchnick
    Ukie looking to go with the Sunday option.
  14. mitchnick
    I didn't bother mentioning earlier that the AI at 18z slid the Sunday threat to our south for a miss.
  15. mitchnick
    Yes...before it fails too.
  16. mitchnick
    Gem cutoff is incredulous. It'll shift south on future runs. Cold will win.
  17. mitchnick
    Should have known Gfs would fail when the Gefs had 1".
  18. mitchnick
    Thinking Gem looks better. We'll see.
  19. mitchnick
    Gfs is just overwhelmed by cold.
  20. mitchnick
    Knew it was coming early on. So far, Gem still looks like 12z.
  21. mitchnick
    I believe that's overdone with just flurries. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2025011318&fh=150
  22. mitchnick
    18z Euro AI passes the storm south of most of MD. VA and eastern shore of DE and MD are the winners. But almost brings up a big storm on the 24th.
  23. mitchnick
    Shockingly, 18z AI almost brings the big storm to us stopping in SPA. I'm talking next Thursday, the 24th. Maybe some hope still out there for that, and maybe not. Lol
  24. mitchnick
    Euro AI 18z passes the Sunday threat just to our south thru MD/VA...God help me please!
  25. mitchnick
    And it ain't close to being over at that point either.
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