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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    May as well since Gfs continues to overwhelm the pattern with cold.
  2. mitchnick
    Yep. Mid December and January 31/February 1. Snow on the ground entire month of February with like 4 events.
  3. mitchnick
    Yeah, it was decent up in Hanover with around 32-34" I believe. I'm less than 10 miles north of him.
  4. mitchnick
    It's on TT now.
  5. mitchnick
    Can't tell with those cheesy maps. Too strong of a cold push unless I'm wrong.
  6. mitchnick
    12z Euro AI had a stronger cold press, so not so much snow around and past day 9 fwiw.
  7. mitchnick
    And then blocking may reappear as it often does late in seasons that featured blocking early. No guarantees, but it's not so simple. Heck, 95/96 was a Niña and had no problem being cold and snowy in February for many on the east coast.
  8. mitchnick
    Without the December and early January snows, I don't see how this year can compare to 13/14 unless we get crazy February and March snows.
  9. mitchnick
    It's a measure of the Pacific, not a driver.
  10. mitchnick
    Ughh. Hate the Euro. Lol
  11. mitchnick
    Gem is a gem.
  12. mitchnick
    Just gunna post. It's bringing something out of the GOM. Where it goes???
  13. mitchnick
    S&E again with the system. Ughh
  14. mitchnick
    Gem has that trough stuck in the sw. Where have we seen that before?
  15. mitchnick
    Ninjad
  16. mitchnick
    Gem may have something post 180hrs
  17. mitchnick
    Looks like 1 on Thursday to me.
  18. mitchnick
    The key to February is that all long range guidance has precip AN all along the east coast. So warmer temps and AN precip in February is conducive to snowfall.
  19. mitchnick
    1.1-1.2" in Hanover
  20. mitchnick
    Looks like the first batter is coming up to the plate at the end of the Icon run. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat_icon-imp&rh=2025011112&fh=180&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=500h_anom&rh=2025011112&fh=180&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  21. mitchnick
    1.1-1.2"
  22. mitchnick
    Ensembles have the best look for a 5-7 day period I can remember. Hopefully they don't lose it. 6z EuroAI has the 2nd wave with the snow again. Biggest concern for me remains cold overwhelming but that's more based on seasonal pattern/persistence.
  23. mitchnick
    I haven't looked closely at how they do it, but Geps snowfall map is the best of the 3 ensembles. At this range, that's all I need to know. Lol
  24. mitchnick
    6z Gfs is continuous cold and dry, aside from flurries. Edit: Gefs snowfall actually pretty decent.
  25. mitchnick
    Let's see if the 0z Euro can get it right.
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