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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. That 1/4 storm is really lowering heights along the coast in its wake, particularly on the Gfs. As much as it may make me uncomfortable to say it, I don't mind seeing the primary go into the Tenn Valley first. Remember, we do need some ridging ahead of the system to get it up the coast some...just not too much.
  2. Yeah, I couldn't decide. I figured that if the High in Quebec kept moving out, it would have no problem moving nne and being a hit. But if the High held its ground, no dice.
  3. Not trying to pee on your party because I've been burned by them, but Storm Vista snowfall maps have always seemed to be off by 1 category vs. its legend (8-10 is really 6-8.) Here's Pivotal if ur interested.
  4. Yep, I was right. Still as good as 0z however.
  5. I think this Eps snowfall is wrong and the colors on the scale are 1 off (8-10 is really 6-8), but we'll see shortly when Pivotal Eps comes out.
  6. It is, but it's moving faster than last night's run because there's another vort on its tail. Pick out which is the 12z run and which is the 0z without having to look at the time stamp. I bet you got it right.
  7. You're an Orioles fan...you should be used to it!
  8. Gets pushed along this run by trailing waive keeping totals more in the 6-10" vs. 10-14"
  9. Getting pushed along faster. Another trough hot in its heals unlike 0z
  10. Looks to take more western track first than 0z
  11. Gunna be a little further north than 0z. High in Canada 2mb weaker and heights along the coast a bit higher.
  12. Trough a little deeper this run v 0z at 102hrs
  13. Heights are definitely a liitle higher along the coast this run to 6z.
  14. Gotta get that 1/4 system past us before we can make any meaningful observations of trends over model runs.
  15. We're still in a time frame where the ensembles prevail. 0z Euro didn't make it past NYC iirc, but the ensembles had them doing fine.
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