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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Like I said, we need a couple of runs/cycles before Nam gets closer to being right. This was a good first step.
  2. If the Nam corrects positively for us, it would probably take at least a couple runs.
  3. Heights are higher along the east coast, though there appears to be a better press from the confluence. Fwiw, Srefs are warm...real warm as in north of Harrisburg if you want more than 1".
  4. Since we're really talking only 25 miles as the crow flies and we're still just under 3 days away, that's easily doable. Moreover, with all 3 other globals saying otherwise, it's the Euro that needs the support.
  5. The day that my mood depended solely on the Euro are over. Like any good weenie, I want to look at every model for support. But if I can't get it from the Euro, so be it.
  6. I'm in the same accumulation level as 12z. Euro is warmest of all of them. Like I said earlier today, it's so over amplified I don't put much stock in it. I could be wrong, but we have 66 hrs to fret about it...and I plan on using every hour!
  7. 18z euro a little better than 12z for some, mainly north and west.
  8. DON'T tell me how to live my life! j/k :p
  9. Haven't seen it posted in this forum yet, so I question your weenie allegiance. Lol But giving you the benefit of the doubt, you do know that the GGEM has a 6z and 18z run, don't you? If you don't, the only place I've seen it offered is meteocentre.com. Today's 18z run is very good and similar to today's 12z. Unfortunately, meteocentre doesn't have pretty snowfall maps. It only tells you how much qpf in millimeters falls as snow (for inches, multiply mm x .4.) The closest view for PA they offer is the Quebec map. Anyway, I've attached the precip snowfall thru the end of the run, 84 hrs like the Rgem. Also, the surface map at 84 showing snow still falling in central and eastern parts of PA. Finally, a link for yourself to the Ggem. They have more models, but we can get those from other sources with more info. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest
  10. For us, the modeling has been pretty consistent...almost scarily so! That should make their job easier. Still waiting for the rug to get rug pulled out but not gunna worry about it one way or the other. You haven't been a real disappointed snow weenie unless you lived south of Baltimore for 60+ years.
  11. We'll have to do something about that then, won't we.
  12. My wife occasionally watches the local news with Finkbiener (sp?) and says he's pretty good. But we haven't been up here with a nail biter snow threat like this one. Idk what he's said as of now because she hasn't been watching any local news lately.
  13. Honestly, I have not watched local tv for weather, when I lived in MD or here, since PD2 in 2/03.
  14. Gfs still has the extended period of snow into Sunday as the trailing 500mb energy swings thru.
  15. Gfs better imby and a little cooler. No rain in s central PA.
  16. Incorrect. Once the run completed and I checked, it is lighter with qpf hence lighter snowfall. Apparently not enough dark blues on the panels.
  17. Icon continues to hold on to light snow for another 6-12 hours, depending on location, after the main batch is thru by 1AM Sunday.
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