mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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We'll know in an hour or so if the 6z Euro and Nam are a trend.
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It wasn't there at 18z and it's gone on the 6z. So we have 1 random run. Once I see it with some consistency across the modeling, then I get excited. That's just me.
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Problem I have with those "patterns" is that there's no evidence from the operational or the ensemble themselves that they will give is snow. Maybe it's too early for that, I don't know, but I can't excited until I do.
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Euro holds onto the slp longer into WV and is warmer. I hate to admit, but the 6z Nam sorta did the same thing, but not as agressive.
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Either the 6z Euro is screwed up or we're all screwed.
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On another note, we really need to score with this and thru the next 2 weeks because we are dealing with some ugly ensembles at the end of their forecast period.
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GGEM a little less. Probably warmer.
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Lotta snow too https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2024010506&fh=72&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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Euro stinks but it's on its own. Toss it. Eps are similar, however, to other ensembles imby.
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Icon similar to last 4 runs too.
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Rgem held mayhe a touch better
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Just gunna post that. Look at the gradient between the southern tip of 12" and nothing....unbelievable!
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Looks like the 2nd round goes to my north. NE will benefit the most.
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Don't you try to get me in a better mood. I'm feeling sorry for myself and nobody's going to stop me!
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Wonder if the 2nd act showing up on the Nam at 57 hrs will make it over the mts.
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Sniffin' the rain.
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Dang shame the Nam will look different in 6 hrs
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I looked at soundings, amd for the first time it actually got colder from 45hrs to 48hrs.
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I love the Nam
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I am right on the southern edge to the wsw of the 7.8" total but something tells me I won't be getting the same amount of snow as that 7.8" snow amount location in northern NJ. Lol
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Dang Eps!
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No idea for certain how they do it, I can only guess.
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On Pivotal, York airport kuchie is 5.4" and regular is 7.8" while WB is 6.5" and 7.5" respectively.
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I think 3k is better
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All downhill from there unfortunately
