mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Euro improved
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Have to say, 12z Gfs, and to a lesser extent Ggem, was what I wanted to see in the Medium range.
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Ninja'ed
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Ukie ce south and good for many. I'm on the line. Driving so no map. Sorry
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Gem https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2024010512&fh=42&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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I still like my 4-8" call for most of the forum from earlier this week. In fact, for mby I can just about guarantee you that I will measure at least 4".
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good for snow
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Icon looks a little warmer. Maybe some with WB could post a map since TT aren't out for a while.
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Rgem holding on for dear life. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=snowfall_acc-imp&rh=2024010513&fh=89&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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Southern folks just lost the NWS Blend of models
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Sorry. Can't do it now.
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I've never thought much of the HRRR, but with support from the Euro and 6z Nam, it can't be ignored unfortunately. Otoh, the Nam starts shortly with maybe some hope.
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HRRR never transfers to the coast thru 2pm. Thanks Great Lakes low for sucking our system to you.
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Well, I can see where things are going now that we're 24hrs out.
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HRRR bring the slp further north to our west. We'll see what happens but I doubt it's good unless it bombs once to the coast.
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Fyi, we lost the Ukie last night but it takes a favorable route with the slp. Just too warm I assume without going too far into it.
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We'll know in an hour or so if the 6z Euro and Nam are a trend.
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It wasn't there at 18z and it's gone on the 6z. So we have 1 random run. Once I see it with some consistency across the modeling, then I get excited. That's just me.
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Problem I have with those "patterns" is that there's no evidence from the operational or the ensemble themselves that they will give is snow. Maybe it's too early for that, I don't know, but I can't excited until I do.
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Euro holds onto the slp longer into WV and is warmer. I hate to admit, but the 6z Nam sorta did the same thing, but not as agressive.
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Either the 6z Euro is screwed up or we're all screwed.
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On another note, we really need to score with this and thru the next 2 weeks because we are dealing with some ugly ensembles at the end of their forecast period.
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GGEM a little less. Probably warmer.
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Lotta snow too https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2024010506&fh=72&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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Euro stinks but it's on its own. Toss it. Eps are similar, however, to other ensembles imby.
