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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. I know, but staying at or below projected highs says the airmass is a bit cooler. We need every bit we can get and I'm just happy that it's cooler than warmer.
  2. Judging from surface temps, things seem to be on the cooler side here in the MA. I'll be surprised if 18z modeks start coming in warmer than 12z, but stranger things have certainly happened.
  3. Yep. It doubled my snowfall despite its shenanigans.
  4. Methinks Euro will come on closer for next weekend. Maybe not like Gfs, but better.
  5. I posted about this earlier in the week. All the southern systems since October have been prolific qpf producers. I just don't buy any model that says this time will be different.
  6. Nws has me in a WWA but around 1500' out my front door in Adams County it's a WSW.
  7. Have to say, 12z Gfs, and to a lesser extent Ggem, was what I wanted to see in the Medium range.
  8. Ukie ce south and good for many. I'm on the line. Driving so no map. Sorry
  9. Gem https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2024010512&fh=42&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  10. I still like my 4-8" call for most of the forum from earlier this week. In fact, for mby I can just about guarantee you that I will measure at least 4".
  11. Icon looks a little warmer. Maybe some with WB could post a map since TT aren't out for a while.
  12. Rgem holding on for dear life. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=snowfall_acc-imp&rh=2024010513&fh=89&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  13. Southern folks just lost the NWS Blend of models
  14. I've never thought much of the HRRR, but with support from the Euro and 6z Nam, it can't be ignored unfortunately. Otoh, the Nam starts shortly with maybe some hope.
  15. HRRR never transfers to the coast thru 2pm. Thanks Great Lakes low for sucking our system to you.
  16. Well, I can see where things are going now that we're 24hrs out.
  17. HRRR bring the slp further north to our west. We'll see what happens but I doubt it's good unless it bombs once to the coast.
  18. Fyi, we lost the Ukie last night but it takes a favorable route with the slp. Just too warm I assume without going too far into it.
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