mitchnick

I got 10.46", you cheatin' bastid!

Need to check wind too.

18z looks a little south of 12z at 90hrs, but not by much. But for paranoia, I wouldn't have mentioned it.

Euro and Icon were pretty similar at 12z. Hopefully that continues with the 18z runs.

I'm in the 4.5" stripe on Pivotal Kuchera fwiw.

Better than 12z nothing and a big step back. Still 4 days so there's time. Also, decent ratio snow probably.

I "think" Icon will be better, but no guarantees on how much assuming I'm right.

Comparing 18z Rgem (top) at 84hrs to 12z Ggem at 90hrs Precipitable Water. You can see the difference. 18z Nam looks like 18z Rgem too.

I think 18z Nam puts him back to sleep with suppression as its height field looks a lot like the Euro at 90hrs.* *-not extrapolating...comparing the 2 at the same time!

Euro loses the storm like the Icon. At least for 1 run, Icon is as good as the Euro.

Ukie sobers up.

Lol. Where have I seen that Canadian snowfall map?

Believe me, you'll find no money in those panels. I think Gfs will be better than 6z

Somebody forgot to tell the Icon there's supppsed to be a storm next week.

Who would ever look at those maps?

Why don't you just have the kahunas to quote my post since you're talking to me instead of some wishy-washy post couched to try to make it look like you're not? We have different climos. My concerns and your concerns are at odds since you probably need me to rain 90% of the time for you to get snow. You should be rejoicing when I get rain. Lol It is what it is. And I'm not moving simply for a few snow days out of the year just like you're not moving for different weather. I can deal with the different climo issues with people in the same forum. You're not going to hurt my feelings.

As I suggested in my first post, my concern is that it continues to shift west. In fact, you may recall my post yesterday that the Ukie was way west. Last night's run, though further east, is still far enough west that it's a rainstorm all along the east coast and Appalachians. I'm telling you, it is tough to beat seasonal trends. Generally, I believe until you get a storm to break the trend, assume it holds. Modeling had this storm as the one to break the trend. Maybe it will, but it's looking now that it is far from a lock.

6z Gfs says seasonal trend begins. Right now, that's good...but how long will it continue?

Icon has snow to rain imby. Out west, probably borderline snow. Too similar to this past weekend.

Icon has a bigger system. Not at the end of tte run, but it is warmer than Euro.

12z v 18z. Also, the 500mb vort is more positively tilted, which explains the storm further off the coast. Don't get me wrong, I'm happy there's a decent signal, but I'm just analyzing the run to prior run.

There are good posters there, but I prefer less drama and smaller group. We all read that forum and others, and although the run is similar to 12z as was stated there, it's around 1/2 the qpf and snowfall per snowfall map.

18z Eps. Despite what you may read in the MA forum, although it still has the Monday storm, it is weaker and a bit more out to sea. Precip maps for comparison. All snow by the way. Possibly slower, but not based on slp location.

18z Icon looking a lot like 6z than 12z, so it's warmer, but not quite as warm as 6z.