mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Surprisingly decent snow falling despite weak radar returns. Looks like the arctic front is in western PA moving east with decent radar returns associated with it. I would think there should be some decent enhancement to the snow as it comes thru then shuts off.
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3'ish eyeballing it with light snow continuing. Radar suggests SC PA snows for a while.
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Fwiw, Nam looks tasty for Friday. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2024011600&fh=loop&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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18z Icon no slouch either.
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Meh...guess I can't borrow any money from you.
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First tiny flakes
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Nam's northward push at 18z is typical for the Nam as I found out the hard way last weekend. I'll be surprised if it backs down at 0z and equally surprised if other guidance doesn't also tick north closer to the Nam. That model has a knack of sniffing out warm pushes.
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My south location might end up helping me this time if the Nam and Euro are right....BIG "IF"
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What Mexican place?
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Thank God Clarence jumped in before you did.
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Somebody went cheap on fasteners it seems. If it's going to happen, it'll happen in the winter since the heat hasn't sealed the roof tabs together.
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Lots of open fields on that part of 30, so that makes it easier to get those kinds of gusts.
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12z Icon
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Steady light to moderate snow with small flakes and dark skies. Everything is covered. Nice appetizer for tomorrow.
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Per radar, looks like I shouid get an extended period of light snow after the initial heavy burst.
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Same here
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Snow squall underway
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Ukie has done the best imho as it held on to the idea of a storm for days. Ukie lighter with the precip, but every storm has gotten wetter in the end, so we'll see. 6z Icon looks very similar to 0z. Both of them have a similar idea with snowfall, Icon is better.
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Icon
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Wow...18z Eps looks nice for Friday. Just need another 50 miles south for a bigger hit down here.
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Not a huge fan of the Srefs unless they're decent (lol), but a weenie has to do what a weenie has to do. Old run on top and new run hot off the presses below.
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Sounds like what happens when you get old. :-/
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18z Euro
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This system has a few tricks up its sleeve before Monday night. I doubt that Nam solution holds, but trying to out guess the Nam will put you in an institution, so I'll stop here. Lol
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Checking snowfall, it shows little accumulations. Maps are misleading unfortunately.
